Luxembourg vs Germany: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — November 13, 2025
On Thursday, November 13, in the fifth round of World Cup qualifying, Luxembourg will host Germany on home soil. Read on for a detailed preview and our match prediction.
See also: Poland vs Netherlands prediction and betting tips 14 November 2025
Match preview
Luxembourg are clear underdogs in the group: the team has failed to earn a single point in four matches, conceding ten goals and scoring only once. In addition to their defensive issues, the squad struggles with finishing, despite creating a fair number of chances in almost every game.
Playing at home, Luxembourg are likely to opt for a defensive setup: a compact block, attempts to contain the opponent’s initiative, and minimizing space for Germany’s attacks. However, their attacking options are limited, and if they come under sustained pressure, it will be a tough task.
Germany, after a surprising defeat to Slovakia in the opening qualifier, have regrouped and delivered expected victories against the rest of the group: twice against Northern Ireland (3-1 and 1-0), and also against Luxembourg (4-0). Tuchel’s side tops Group A with nine points, level with Slovakia but boasting a better goal difference.
Germany will look to dominate possession and dictate the tempo, just as in their previous encounter: high ball control, quick transitions, wing play, and relentless chance creation. It’s crucial for them to score early and build pressure to keep Luxembourg from growing into the game.
Probable lineups
Luxembourg: Moris; Jans, M. Martins, Korac, Carlson; Olesen; Sinani, C. Martins, Barreiro, Moreira; Dardari
Germany: Baumann; Kimmich, Tah, Anton, Raum; Pavlovic, Goretzka; Gnabry, Wirtz, Adeyemi; Woltemade
Match facts and head-to-head
- In recent football history, Germany have beaten Luxembourg twice in head-to-head encounters
- Luxembourg have lost six of their last seven matches, drawing once
- After a run of three defeats, Germany have secured three consecutive wins
Prediction
I expect a confident display from Germany that will help them solidify their goal advantage over Slovakia. My prediction: Asian handicap Germany (-2.5) at 1.7
