Leipzig vs Freiburg prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups - 14 January 2026
One of the matches of Bundesliga's 17th round will take place on Wednesday at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, where the local RB Leipzig will host Freiburg. I'm tipping a bet on goals in this clash, considering the hosts' impressive scoring record and the guests' shaky away form.
Match preview
Ole Werner's side are experiencing a dip in form: two consecutive Bundesliga defeats—against Bayer and Union, both with a 1-3 scoreline—and just one win in their last four matches. However, they remain in the Champions League zone, and when it comes to home fixtures, only Bayer have outperformed them, underlining their strength on their own turf.
At Red Bull Arena, Leipzig have claimed victory in six of their last seven league matches, netting at least twice in eight of their previous nine home games. Despite current table pressure, their attacking line remains consistent and creative, making them clear favorites against an unpredictable Freiburg side.
Freiburg have put together a three-match unbeaten run, but their wins came against lower-table teams—Hamburg and Wolfsburg. The team has shown good attacking intent, scoring at least twice in five of their last seven outings, but their defensive woes persist—a run of four consecutive matches conceding highlights issues at the back.
On the road, Julian Schuster's men have struggled: winless in five of their last six away fixtures, conceding 11 goals in the last three away games. Their lack of defensive stability could prove crucial against a side of Leipzig's caliber, especially on their home ground.
Probable lineups
- Leipzig: Gulácsi, Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Nedeljkovic, Schlager, Baumgartner, Seiwald, Romulo, Harder, Gomis
- Freiburg: Atubolu, Kübler, Ginter, Günter, Lienhart, Manzambi, Grifo, Suzuki, Eggestein, Treu, Höler
Match facts and head-to-head
- Leipzig have beaten Freiburg in 7 of their last 9 home Bundesliga meetings.
- Freiburg have conceded 11 goals in their last three away league matches.
- At least 4 goals have been scored in 6 of Leipzig's last 8 Bundesliga matches.
Prediction
Leipzig's recent form raises some questions, but their home record remains formidable, and their opponent is far from the league's most dangerous visitors. Freiburg are decent going forward but suffer from persistent defensive instability, especially on the road where they consistently concede two or more goals. Given the competitive motivation and quality gap, the most logical bet appears to be a home win in a high-scoring encounter.
