Lecce have not won at San Siro since the last century — will Milan extend the streak? Milan vs Lecce prediction

AC Milan vs Lecce prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 5) 20 sep 2026, 14:45
Finished
3 : 0
Italy, Milano, San Siro
Christian Pulisic
14'
Adrien Rabiot
61'
Diego Moreira
73'

The fifth-round Serie A clash between Milan and Lecce will take place on September 20 at San Siro. The hosts are still unbeaten in the league, having collected eight points, while the visitors have six points after four rounds.

Milan: winless in three straight matches

Ruben Amorim's side opened the season with two Serie A victories, but then drew twice — 1-1 with Juventus and 2-2 with Lazio. A first defeat of the season followed in midweek, as Milan lost 2-0 to Benfica in the Europa League.

Milan traditionally look extremely confident at home against Lecce. They have won their last four home meetings with an aggregate score of 9-0, while Luka Modric and Adrien Rabiot could return to the starting lineup after being rotated in European competition.

Lecce: impressive victory after two defeats

Eusebio Di Francesco's side have collected six points from four rounds. After defeats to Roma and Cagliari, Lecce bounced back by beating Monza 3-2.

Lassana Coulibaly scored twice in that match and became one of the team's standout performers at the start of the season. However, Lecce's away record against Milan remains extremely poor, and they have failed to score in four of their last five head-to-head meetings.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Milan have not lost to Lecce at home in Serie A since the turn of the century.
  • The Rossoneri have won their last four home meetings with this opponent by an aggregate score of 9-0.
  • Lecce's last league victory over Milan came in April 2006.

History is once again on the hosts' side: Milan vs Lecce prediction

Lecce have shown that they can punish opponents for their mistakes, but they traditionally struggle at San Siro. Milan should be fully focused after their European defeat.

The hosts have greater attacking quality and more depth, while the visitors' defense does not look reliable enough. If Milan can make the most of their territorial advantage, the match could end in a convincing victory without conceding.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - No
Odds: 1.67
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