Le Havre vs Nantes prediction, H2H and probable lineups - March 30, 2025
The 27th round match of the French championship between Le Havre and Nantes will be played on Sunday at the "Océan" stadium. I suggest a bet on goals in this match with good chances of success.
Match preview
After a two-match unbeaten streak in Ligue 1, Le Havre stumbled again, losing 2-4 to Lyon. The team's defensive issues remain unsolved – they have failed to keep a clean sheet for 14 consecutive matches. However, their attack is not faltering: their goal-scoring streak has reached seven games. Despite another defeat, Le Havre holds the 16th spot in the table, just two points away from the safe 15th position.
Nevertheless, one of the main factors of the crisis is clear – the defense. With 55 goals conceded, the club's defense is one of the leakiest in the championship, only surpassed by Saint-Étienne (57) and Montpellier (59). Their home stadium does not provide the desired advantage – in the last eight Ligue 1 matches, the team managed only one draw, losing the other seven.
Nantes managed to break a two-match losing streak in Ligue 1 by narrowly defeating Lille (1-0). The team continues to alternate between victories and defeats, extending their uncompromising streak in the championship to seven games (3 wins, 4 losses). Particularly important for the "Canaries" was that in the last round, they finally kept a clean sheet, something they hadn't achieved in 11 consecutive matches.
In the standings, Antoine Kombouaré's team is in 13th place, with a six-point cushion over Le Havre. However, away games remain the team's Achilles' heel – in the last 11 away matches in the championship, Nantes managed to avoid defeat only once (4 draws, 6 losses).
Probable lineups
- Le Havre: Mathieu Gorgelin, Loïc Négo, Gautier Lloris, Etienne Kinkoue, Timothée Pembélé, Junior Mwanga, Abdoulaye Touré, Issa Soumaré, Yassine Kechta, Josué Casimir, André Ayew
- Nantes: Anthony Lopes, Marcus Coco, Saidy Sow, Jean-Charles Castelletto, Nicolas Cozza, Douglas Augusto, Pedro Chirivella, Loup Hervé, Sorba Thomas, Matthis Abline, Moses Simon
Match facts and head-to-head
- Nantes have scored in 11 of their last 14 Ligue 1 matches
- In the first round, Le Havre defeated Nantes away with a score of 2-0
- The "both teams to score" bet hit in only one of five matches
Prediction
As we can see, the teams rarely delight with goals in head-to-head matches. Moreover, Le Havre and Nantes are among the Ligue 1 outsiders in the expected goals (xG) metric. The hosts rank last in this rating, creating an average of only 1.14 xG per match. Nantes is slightly better, sitting in 15th place with an average of 1.27 xG. This highlights both teams' issues in creating dangerous chances in attack. Our bet for the match is "Total under 2.5" with odds of 1.80.
