Lazio vs Roma prediction, H2H and probable lineups - April 13, 2025

Lazio vs Roma prediction Photo: beinsports.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 32) 13 apr 2025, 14:45
Finished
1 : 1
Italy, Rome, Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Alessio Romagnoli
47'
69'
Matias Soule

One of the matches in the 32nd round of the Italian championship will be played on Sunday in Rome, where Lazio and Roma will clash in a derby at the Stadio Olimpico. I suggest betting on goals in this encounter with good chances of success.

Match preview

In the last round, Marco Baroni's men pleasantly surprised by securing a narrow away victory over Atalanta (1-0). This success was Lazio's first in the last four Serie A rounds, where they previously had two draws and one defeat. Moreover, the Romans finally kept a clean sheet after a series of five matches with conceded goals.

With 55 points, Lazio holds the sixth position in the standings and continues to fight for European competitions. The team's attacking potential deserves special attention — with 52 goals scored, they are among the top three most prolific in the current campaign. In the last nine championship matches, Lazio lost only once, securing four wins and four draws.

In the previous round, Claudio Ranieri's team held off Juventus at home, finishing the match in a draw. This draw ended Roma's impressive seven-match winning streak in the championship. The team's clean sheet streak was also broken — the Giallorossi conceded a goal for the first time in four matches.

Nevertheless, the Romans remain in the upper part of the table, sitting seventh, just two points behind Lazio. Roma is unbeaten in 15 consecutive league matches, during which they have recorded 11 wins and shared points four times with their opponents.

Probable lineups

  • Lazio: Ivan Provedel – Nuno Tavares, Mario Gila, Samuel Gigot, Manuel Lazzari – Lum Chaouna, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Reda Belahyane, Nicolo Rovella, Mattia Zaccagni – Boulaye Dia
  • Roma: Mile Svilar – Mats Hummels, Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka – Angelino, Manu Kone, Bryan Cristante, Mehmet Zeki Celik – Matias Soule, Artem Dovbyk, Stephan El Shaarawy

Match facts and head-to-head

  • In the first match of the season, Roma defeated Lazio 2-0
  • The 'under 2.5 goals' bet has won in the last five matches between these teams
  • The 'both teams to score' bet has not won in the last seven matches

Prediction

What stands out is the obvious decline in Lazio's attacking potential: in the last six Serie A rounds, the Romans managed to score only five times, and only in one of these matches did they break the opponent's defense more than once. It is particularly concerning that the team failed to score against Bologna and Venezia — opponents whose defenses are clearly not among the most reliable in the league. Our bet for the match is 'Under 2.5 goals' with odds of 1.81.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.81
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