Lazio vs Inter: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 13.05.2026

Lazio vs Inter prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Coppa Italia (Round Final) 13 may 2026, 15:00
Finished
0 : 2
Italy, Rome, Stadio Olimpico, Rome
14' (OG)
Adam Marusic
35'
Lautaro Martinez

The Coppa Italia final will take place on Wednesday at the Olimpico Stadium in Rome, where Lazio will go head-to-head with Inter. Here’s my pick for the outcome of this showdown: the Romans have a shot to save their season, while the Milanese are chasing a golden double.

Match preview

Lazio received a worrying signal right before the final: Maurizio Sarri’s side lost 0-3 to Inter at this very stadium in Serie A’s 36th round. The defeat was painful not just in terms of the scoreline, but also in the performance—the Romans looked far too passive against an opponent they’ll face again in just a few days with a trophy on the line.

But a final is a completely different emotional setting, especially for Lazio, who would not only claim the Coppa Italia with a win but also secure a guaranteed spot in European competition. Sarri is expected to bring Nuno Tavares, Kenneth Taylor, and Gustav Isaksen back into the starting lineup, and the support of the Olimpico crowd could prove crucial: the last cup final here saw Lazio beat Atalanta 2-0.

Inter come into the match as newly crowned Italian champions, with a clear goal - to bag their second domestic trophy of the season. Cristian Chivu’s team have already tested Lazio in Rome and came away with a convincing 3-0 win, looking focused and showing no signs of holding back ahead of the final.

The main challenge for the Nerazzurri is personnel losses: Hakan Çalhanoğlu hasn’t recovered, and Marcus Thuram’s injury deprives Inter of one of their most dangerous attacking duos. Still, the team’s form remains formidable: after a 5-2 demolition of Roma, Inter have exploded for 22 goals in their last seven matches, with nine different players finding the net.

Probable lineups

  • Lazio: Motta, Tavares, Romagnoli, Gila, Marušić, Dele-Bashiru, Taylor, Bašić, Zaccagni, Maldini, Isaksen.
  • Inter: Sommer, Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni, Dumfries, Barella, Zieliński, Sučić, Dimarco, Martínez, Bonny.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Over 2.5 goals were scored in six of the last seven matches between Lazio and Inter.
  • Inter have won seven of their last ten encounters with Lazio.
  • The most recent meeting before the final ended with Inter’s 3-0 win over Lazio at the Olimpico.
  • Inter have scored at least two goals in regulation time in seven of the last eight head-to-head clashes in Serie A, Coppa Italia, and the Italian Super Cup.
  • No more than eight corners were taken in regulation time in nine of the last eleven head-to-head meetings in Serie A, Coppa Italia, and the Italian Super Cup.

Prediction

Lazio will surely play with more grit and emotion than in the recent league match, as Sarri’s side have their entire season hanging in the balance. Home advantage, cup motivation, and the return of several key players should help the Romans avoid a repeat of last week’s collapse. But Inter look the more cohesive and composed team right now: they have better structure, more attacking options, and clearly greater depth. Even without Thuram and Çalhanoğlu, the Nerazzurri can punish Lazio’s mistakes and cap off their season with a double.

Prediction on game Win Inter
Odds: 1.67
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