Lazio – Milan: who will break through to the Coppa Italia quarterfinals?

Coppa Italia (Round 1/8) 04 dec 2025, 15:00
Finished
1 : 0
Italy,
Mattia Zaccagni
80'

On Thursday, 4 December, we’re set for a compelling Round of 16 clash in the Coppa Italia as Lazio face Milan. Kick-off is at 21:00 CET, and I’ve prepared a betting angle for this game.

Lazio – Milan: match facts and head-to-head

  • Lazio have lost two of their last three matches.
  • Milan are unbeaten in 12 consecutive games.
  • Milan’s scoring streak stands at seven straight matches.
  • At home, Lazio have won their last three fixtures and are unbeaten in four.
  • Away from home, Milan haven’t lost in six straight: three wins and three draws.
  • Milan have kept a clean sheet in 53% of their matches this season, Lazio in 38%.
  • Milan have not lost a single match this season without scoring; Lazio have lost 38% in such fashion.
  • The sides met just a few days ago, on 29 November, with the Rossoneri winning 1–0.
  • In their last five head-to-head meetings, Milan have won three times, Lazio once.

Lazio – Milan: match preview

Lazio have suffered two defeats in their last three outings, including that recent loss to Milan. Their Coppa Italia journey is just beginning, as they skipped the earlier rounds. In Serie A, they currently sit eighth with 18 points after 13 matchdays. They are six points off the European spots, meaning the race for continental football is still wide open.

Milan sit above Lazio — in fact, the Rossoneri are currently top of the Serie A table. After 13 rounds they have 28 points, sharing first place with Napoli and holding just a one-point lead over the teams in third and fourth. Their Coppa Italia campaign started earlier: they beat Bari 2–0 in the first round and then dismantled Lecce 3–0. Last season, Milan reached the final of this competition but fell 1–0 to Bologna.

Probable lineups

  • Lazio: Mandas; Lazzari, Patric, Romagnoli, Tavares; Guendouzi, Belahyane, Basic; Pedro, Noslin, Zaccagni
  • Milan: Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Saelemaekers, Ricci, Modric, Rabiot, Estupinan; Nkunku, Leão

Prediction

This is a real test for both sides, each eager to keep their trophy chase alive. The matchup promises balance and intrigue, but I don’t expect a high-scoring contest. My suggestion is under 2.5 total goals.

Prediction on game Total under 2,5
Odds: 1.7
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