Lazio — Como Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 19 January 2026
On January 19, 2026, in Matchday 21 of Serie A, Lazio will host Como. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Lazio
Lazio approach this match after a long-awaited victory. The Roman side defeated Verona 1–0 away from home, ending a run of four consecutive matches without a win. Overall, the team’s recent form looks solid: in their last eight matches, Lazio have suffered just one defeat, recording three wins and four draws. During this period, Lazio also eliminated AC Milan from the Coppa Italia, securing a place in the quarter-finals, where they will face Bologna. In Serie A, Lazio currently sit in ninth place with 28 points. The gap to the European qualification zone stands at six points.
Special attention should be paid to Lazio’s defensive profile and low-scoring trends. In 14 of their last 15 matches, games involving Lazio have finished with under 2.5 goals. This pattern places the club at the bottom of Serie A rankings in terms of matches going over the 2.5-goal line. Across the current league season, only four of Lazio’s 20 matches have ended with more than 2.5 goals. On average, matches involving the Roman side produce 1.9 goals.
Lazio’s home form has raised some concerns. The team have failed to win in their last four home matches, recording three draws and one defeat.
As for head-to-head meetings at the Stadio Olimpico against Como, Lazio have looked confident. The Roman side have never lost to this opponent in Rome, registering one draw and one victory.
Como
Como come into this fixture after suffering their first home defeat of the season. In their most recent match, the team lost 1–3 to AC Milan on home soil. As a result, Como are now winless in their last two matches. Despite this setback, the overall form of the team remains convincing. The defeat against Milan ended a four-match unbeaten run. Before that, Como had drawn with Bologna and recorded three consecutive victories, all of which came without conceding a goal. At the moment, Como occupy sixth place in the Serie A standings with 34 points. The gap to the UEFA Champions League zone is just four points.
This season, Como have looked competitive both at home and away. Away from home, results have been less consistent: in 10 matches, Como have recorded four wins, three draws, and three defeats. Notably, the team have won their last two away fixtures.
In terms of scoring trends, Como are also involved in relatively low-scoring matches. On average, games featuring Como produce 2.2 goals. Only seven of their 20 league matches this season have finished with over 2.5 goals.
The reverse fixture earlier this season saw Como defeat Lazio 2–0 at home. That win remains Como’s only victory in the history of head-to-head meetings between the two sides. Overall, the teams have faced each other five times, with Lazio claiming three wins, alongside one draw and one win for Como.
Probable Lineups
- Lazio: Provedel, Pellegrini, Gila, Romagnoli, Marusic, Taylor, Vecino, Cataldi, Zaccagni, Noslin, Cancellieri
- Como: Butez, Moreno, Kempf, Ramon, Van Der Brempt, Da Cunha, Perrone, Jesus Rodriguez, Vojvoda, Paz, Douvikas
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Lazio have won or drawn 7 of their last 8 matches.
- 14 of Lazio’s last 15 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Como have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Lazio have won or drawn 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
Lazio — Como Prediction
Both teams approach this match in decent form. Lazio have finally returned to winning ways, putting an end to their winless run, while Como, despite suffering their first home defeat of the season, continue to look solid and currently occupy a place in the European qualification zone. Matches involving both teams have generally been low-scoring throughout the season. Lazio post the lowest over 2.5 goals record in the league, having seen only four such matches so far, while Como have also been involved in a limited number of high-scoring games. Overall, fixtures featuring these sides tend to produce around two goals on average. Looking at head-to-head meetings, overall results remain in Lazio’s favour, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat. Given the defensive approach of both sides and Lazio’s run of low-scoring fixtures, this match is also expected to be tight. With both teams competing for European qualification, its importance in the league table adds extra weight. My bet for this match: Total Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65.
