Latvia risk finishing the tournament without a win: Latvia vs Armenia prediction
Five matches, one point and bottom of the group: Latvia head into the final round of the UEFA Nations League in dire form. On November 15, 2026, at Skonto Stadium in Riga, the Latvians will face Armenia, who have also failed to mount a challenge for promotion. Both teams already know their final positions in League C Group 2: the hosts will finish fourth, while the visitors will end the tournament in third place.
Latvia: defensive problems stand in the way of results
Latvia have endured a disastrous Nations League campaign, losing four of their five matches. Paolo Nicolato's side fell to Armenia (0-2), Montenegro twice (1-2) and Cyprus (1-2). Their only point came from a goalless home draw with the Cypriots (0-0).
Despite the poor results, the Latvians have started creating more chances. They have scored in each of their last three matches, but have also conceded twice every time. In the previous round, defender Deniss Melniks found the net, but his goal could not prevent defeat in Montenegro. Roberts Uldriķis will be the main attacking hope in the upcoming match, with Andrejs Cigaņiks and Eduards Dašķevičs expected to feature out wide.
Armenia: winless run stretches on after a strong start
Armenia opened the group stage with a convincing 2-0 win over Latvia but were unable to build on that success. Yeghishe Melikyan's side lost to Montenegro (2-3) and Cyprus (0-2), then drew twice—0-0 with the Montenegrins and 1-1 with the Cypriots.
Despite going four matches without a win, the visitors remain ahead of Latvia in the standings. Artur Garibyan, who scored against both Latvia and Cyprus, remains one of the team's most influential players. He is expected to be supported in attack by Zhirayr Shaghoyan and Artur Serobyan, while Ugochukwu Iwu and Karlen Hovhannisyan will be tasked with dictating play in midfield.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Latvia have not won any of their five Nations League group-stage matches, picking up just one point
- Armenia are winless in four straight matches, with two defeats and two draws
- Armenia have won four of their last five meetings with Latvia, including a 2-0 victory in September 2026
Visitors can repeat their success from the first meeting: Latvia vs Armenia prediction
Latvia have shown some improvement going forward, but regular defensive errors continue to cost them points. Armenia look better organised and have the edge in the head-to-head record.
The hosts are certainly capable of scoring on home soil, but Garibyan and his teammates have the attacking quality to give the visitors a strong chance of winning. A high-scoring match with Armenia holding a slight edge looks likely.
