Lanús vs Puerto Cabello prediction, H2H and probable lineups – May 28, 2025
Academia Puerto Cabello
One of the fixtures of the 6th round in the Copa Sudamericana group stage will take place on Wednesday at the Ciudad de Lanús stadium, where the local side Lanús will host Puerto Cabello. Let’s take a look at the best bet for the winner in this matchup.
Lanús
After a frustrating exit from the Apertura playoffs in the Round of 16 via a penalty shootout against Boca Juniors, Lanús quickly bounced back and put together an impressive run. The team secured two crucial consecutive victories: first, in the fifth round of the Copa Sudamericana, they edged out Vasco da Gama 1-0, and then followed it up in the Copa Argentina Round of 32 with a win over Vélez Sarsfield, sending "the Granate" to the next stage of the tournament.
The win over Vasco da Gama proved especially significant—it clinched first place in their Copa Sudamericana group ahead of schedule, turning the final round into a mere formality. The team's home form is also intimidating: they’re unbeaten in their last 11 matches across all competitions at their own ground. In these circumstances, it’s hard to imagine the Argentinians letting their guard down and ending their streak.
It's worth noting that the first meeting between these teams ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw. Now, with one of the group’s underdogs coming to town, Lanús will surely be eager to take revenge and extend their unbeaten home run.
Puerto Cabello
While Lanús still has everything to play for, their upcoming opponent is essentially wrapping up their season. Puerto Cabello sits at the bottom of their Copa Sudamericana group with just 4 points, and even a win here won’t be enough to reach the playoffs.
The domestic situation isn’t much better. In the national league, they’re third in Group B with two rounds left in the Quadrangular, and the gap to leaders Deportivo Táchira is already insurmountable.
The team’s form leaves much to be desired. Over their last five matches, they’ve managed just one win—a convincing 4-1 victory over Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana—followed by one defeat and three draws. Their away record is particularly troubling: Puerto Cabello hasn’t won on the road in eight straight matches, failing to score in seven of them.
Given these results, motivation for the final round may be at an all-time low, and playing away against a confident Lanús side will be yet another major challenge.
Probable lineups
- Lanús: Losada, Cardozo, De Jesus, Muñoz, Ontivero, Medina, Ramirez, Segovia, Rodriguez, Aquino, Canelo.
- Puerto Cabello: Romero, Cassiani, Peraza, Mbaye, Linares, Guerrero, Cedeño, Contreras, Padron, Mesa, Paredes.
Key facts and head-to-head
- Lanús have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Lanús have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Puerto Cabello have failed to win 5 of their last 6 matches.
- 9 of Puerto Cabello’s last 9 away games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- 10 of Lanús’ last 11 matches have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Puerto Cabello are winless in 8 consecutive away matches.
- Puerto Cabello have failed to score in 7 of their last 8 away games.
Lanús vs Puerto Cabello match prediction
Given the current form, motivation, and stats, Lanús look like clear favorites in this encounter. The Argentinians are dominant at home—unbeaten in 11 straight matches on their own turf. Meanwhile, Puerto Cabello are struggling mightily on the road, winless in their last 8 away fixtures and failing to score in 7 of those. Even though this match is a formality for Lanús in terms of the standings, they clearly have no intention of letting up—especially after their disappointment in the Apertura and their desire to please their home fans. My pick for this match: Lanús to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.54.
