Raphael Durand
Dailysports's expert
One of the matches of the 10th round of the Norwegian championship will take place on Sunday at the KFUM Arena, where the local side KFUM will host Strømsgodset. I’m offering a bet on goals in this clash with an attractive odds.
Match preview
The capital club put in a decent display in their last outing against powerhouse Rosenborg, earning a 1-1 draw and allowing their opponents to generate just 0.63 xG (excluding penalties). That gives fans a glimmer of hope, but the season’s overall picture remains bleak: 6 defeats in 9 matches—almost half of last season’s negative record for the entire campaign. What’s especially worrying is the toothless attack: just 11 big chances created all season.
Head coach Moesgaard is most troubled by the team’s home form: three consecutive defeats at the KFUM Arena have badly shaken the players’ confidence. On the other hand, not so long ago, KFUM had a streak of five home matches without defeat, showing there’s still room for a turnaround. The key question is whether centre-backs Aalesami, Bergli, and Tønnesen can once again stay focused and error-free.
The visitors from Drammen come into the match with even bigger problems: four straight defeats in all competitions, including a home loss in the last round to HamKam (0-3). As a result, the head coach was sacked. Fagermo, returning to the helm, faces a tough task—he must quickly restore the team’s confidence and sort out their play, as the "Blues" defence simply collapses under any pressure. In the last four matches, they have conceded 10 goals—a statistic that speaks for itself.
Nevertheless, Strømsgodset still boasts decent attacking potential: the young front line can create chances out of nothing. Fagermo’s new tactical approach might click and produce a quick impact—often, a coaching change provides a short-term boost. However, the injury list remains a major issue: the absence of Andersen, Ekeland, and Melkersen severely limits the options up front.
Probable lineups
- KFUM Oslo: Emil Odegaard, Ailadin Aalesami, Fredrik Bergli, Mads Tønnesen, Henning Hoset, Sivert Sandal, Robert Rask, Jonas Hjort, Daniel Hickson, Birk Kristensen, Oke Okeke
- Strømsgodset: Saku Lampinen-Skaug, Lars-Christer Vilsvik, Fredrik Dahl, Gustav Valsvik, Simen Vesterlund, Herman Stengel, Kreshnik Krasniqi, Fabian Pedro Vilaseca Ardraa, Julius Terkelsen, Nils Møller, Mahmoud Farji.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Last season, Strømsgodset defeated KFUM twice (1-0 and 3-1), but both teams are currently in crisis
- KFUM have lost their last three home league games in a row
- The visitors have lost three of their last five away matches, winning only two.
Prediction
Given the form of both sides and the change of coach for the visitors, it’s unlikely we’ll see a goal fest or an easy win for either team. The capital club will try to make the most of their home support, while Strømsgodset could squeeze out a result thanks to the "new manager bounce." In my view, a draw seems the most logical outcome here—a result that won’t help much, but will at least allow both teams to catch their breath. My suggestion: back "Strømsgodset not to lose" at odds of 1.66.
