Juventus targeting a fifth straight win over Genoa: Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Genoa vs Juventus prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 9) 28 oct 2026, 15:45
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Italy, Genoa, Stadio Luigi Ferraris

The ninth-round Serie A clash between Genoa and Juventus in the 2026/27 season will take place on October 28 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium in Genoa. The hosts are trying to emerge from a prolonged goalscoring crisis, while the Turin side are looking to cut their eight-point deficit to the Serie A leaders. Despite significant absences, Luciano Spalletti's team head into the match as favorites.

Genoa: Victory over Venezia does not mask attacking problems

Daniele De Rossi's side finally secured their second league win, edging past Venezia 1-0. Mikael Ellertsson scored the decisive goal, but the quality of Genoa's football remains a concern. The hosts struggle to create dangerous chances, while their tally of six goals in eight rounds is the second-lowest in Serie A.

The hosts' attacking limitations are particularly evident against serious opposition: defeats to Napoli (0-2) and Como (1-4) exposed their lack of cutting edge in the final third. De Rossi is preparing changes to his 3-5-2 formation: Alessandro Marcandalli is expected to return to the defense, Morten Frendrup and Tommaso Baldanzi could feature in midfield, while Milutin Osmajic and Vitor Oliveira are set to form the attacking partnership. Another option is the returning Lorenzo Colombo, who has already registered two assists.

Juventus: Solid defense helps Spalletti weather an injury crisis

The Turin club enter the ninth round in seventh place, eight points behind leaders Inter and Lazio. In six league matches since the start of September, Juventus have won only twice, with their latest away victory over Lecce (2-0) coming after a painful home defeat to Lazio (0-3). At the same time, their expected-goals and expected-points figures suggest that the team's potential is significantly greater than its current position in the table.

Luciano Spalletti's biggest headache is the long injury list: Kenan Yildiz, Khéphren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Francisco Conceição, Zeki Çelik and Nicolás González are all unavailable. The returns of Jérémie Boga and Juan Cabal give the coach slightly more options, while Lloyd Kelly, Edon Zhegrova and Pape Sarr could also be handed playing time. Despite being forced to rotate his squad, Juventus remain highly reliable defensively and continue to create chances, although their finishing has been inconsistent.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Juventus have won their last four matches against Genoa with an aggregate score of 7-0.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in five of the teams' last six head-to-head meetings.
  • Genoa have scored just six goals in eight Serie A rounds, while Juventus have won only two of their last six league matches.

Genoa will struggle to break down the favorite's defense: Genoa vs Juventus prediction

The home win over Venezia should give De Rossi's players a confidence boost, but it is still too early to say that they have fully emerged from their crisis. Genoa have lacked conviction in the final phase of attacks, and those shortcomings become especially costly against an organized Juventus defense. The recent head-to-head record also gives the hosts little reason for optimism.

The Turin side are dealing with serious squad problems, but even with a weakened lineup, they have enough resources to win. Spalletti must manage his players' workload carefully ahead of the upcoming meeting with Napoli, so an open game and a high-scoring affair should not be expected. The most likely scenario is a pragmatic contest in which the visitors capitalize on one of their chances and protect a narrow lead.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.75
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