Iceland winless for almost a year: Iceland vs Estonia prediction
The opening-round match of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League between Iceland and Estonia will take place on September 26 at Laugardalsvöllur Stadium in Reykjavik. The teams are in Group 4 of League C alongside Bulgaria and Luxembourg, while the hosts begin a new campaign after being relegated from League B.
Iceland: a prolonged winless run and a chance to reset the campaign
Iceland finished third in their Nations League group in League B last time out, then lost both playoff matches to Kosovo and were relegated to the division below. The team subsequently failed to qualify for the World Cup once again, finishing third in their qualifying group behind France and Ukraine.
The problems continued in friendly matches. Iceland failed to win any of their next five games, losing to Mexico, Japan and Argentina while drawing with Canada and Haiti. Their last victory came in November last year, when they defeated Azerbaijan 2-0.
Estonia: Baltic Cup triumph provides a confidence boost
Estonia endured a poor Nations League campaign last time out, winning just one of six matches, and then made little impact in World Cup qualifying. Their only victory came against Moldova, who played almost the entire match with ten men.
However, the team received an important emotional boost in the summer. Estonia won the Baltic Cup, defeating the Faroe Islands and Lithuania in succession. This run of three straight wins makes the visitors a more difficult opponent than their overall ranking and previous results might suggest.
Match facts
- Iceland have been winless since November last year.
- Estonia have won their last three matches and lifted the Baltic Cup.
- Estonia won just once in six matches in the previous Nations League campaign.
Home advantage could end the prolonged drought: Iceland vs Estonia prediction
Iceland are going through a difficult period, but they still look stronger than their opponents in terms of individual quality and attacking ability. The partnership of Albert Guðmundsson and Orri Óskarsson is capable of creating enough chances even against a well-organized defense.
Estonia head into the match in a positive emotional state after winning the Baltic Cup, but the level of opposition will now be higher. If the hosts take the initiative quickly, their superior class could gradually translate into a result.
