Hull City vs Birmingham City: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 18.04.2026

Hull vs Birmingham prediction Photo: efl.com / Author unknown
EFL Championship (Round 43) 18 apr 2026, 10:00
Finished
1 : 1
England, Hull, The MKM Stadium
Joe Gelhardt
24'
77'
Tomoki Iwata

One of the matches of the upcoming Championship round will take place on Saturday at the MKM Stadium in Hull, where Hull City will host Birmingham City. Let’s take a closer look at this clash, with the hosts fighting to hold on to their playoff spot, while the visitors are winding down the season with minimal pressure from the standings.

Match preview

Hull City come into this fixture under mounting pressure: the team has started dropping points at the worst possible time of the season. In the previous round, the Tigers squandered a lead and lost to Sheffield United, and overall have managed just two wins in their last eight matches, slipping down to sixth place as a result.

Nevertheless, Hull remain relatively resilient at home: victories over Derby (3-2) and Sheffield Wednesday (3-1) have shown the squad’s ability to step up when it matters most. The partnership of McBurnie and Gelhardt continues to play a pivotal role, having netted 27 goals between them in the Championship and serving as the hosts’ main attacking threat.

Birmingham City eased the pressure a bit last round, defeating Wrexham to snap a three-game losing streak. That win restored some pride as the season winds down, but in terms of league ambitions, the Blues have virtually dropped out of the race for anything significant and are floating in mid-table.

The main issue for the visitors has been their away form. Birmingham have lost their last four away games by a combined score of 1-7, and this factor alone has shattered any hopes of finishing higher up. Even with some quality individuals, the team looks far too vulnerable on the road and often loses its shape under pressure.

Probable lineups

  • Hull City: Pandur, McNair, Ajayi, Egan, Coyle, Gyabi, Hadžiahmetović, Gelhardt, Crooks, Millar, McBurnie.
  • Birmingham City: Biddle, Osayi-Samuel, Neumann, Klarer, Wagner, Solis, Iwata, Vicente, Stansfield, Osman, Priske.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Hull City have won just two of their last eight Championship matches.
  • Birmingham have lost their last four away games by a combined score of 1-7.
  • In the previous round, Hull lost to Sheffield United while Birmingham defeated Wrexham.

Prediction

This is a match where home advantage and motivation in the standings could be decisive. Hull are in a situation where every fixture feels like a mini play-off final, and such teams typically play with greater focus and pragmatism. Birmingham can put up a fight, especially in patches, but their away instability is too persistent to ignore in this context. The most logical outcome here is a Hull City win, though given the nature of both sides, a scenario with both teams scoring or a moderate total also looks likely.

Prediction on game W1(0)
Odds: 1.72
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