Home start against a team struggling in attack: DR Congo vs Equatorial Guinea prediction

DR Congo vs Equatorial Guinea prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
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International,
Chancel Mbemba
4'
Yoane Wissa
72'

The first-round qualifying clash for the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations between DR Congo and Equatorial Guinea will take place on September 25 at Stade des Martyrs in Kinshasa. The match will be played in Group E, with the hosts opening their qualifying campaign at home against an opponent coming off a poor run and experiencing noticeable problems in front of goal.

DR Congo: home advantage and a stronger position ahead of the qualifying campaign

DR Congo have avoided defeat in six of their last 10 matches across all competitions, recording three wins during that run. In the summer, the team competed at the World Cup, immediately stunning the football world by taking points off Portugal. They then lost to Colombia (0-1) and defeated Uzbekistan (3-1) before falling 1-2 to England in the playoffs.

In their last six matches, the Congolese have averaged one goal scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their home record is also encouraging, with three wins in their previous five matches on home soil, giving the hosts added confidence ahead of the start of qualifying.

Equatorial Guinea: few goals and a poor run of results

Equatorial Guinea have won just one of their last six matches, drawing once and suffering four defeats. In June, the team lost 0-1 to Comoros, having previously drawn 1-1 with Madagascar and edged Kyrgyzstan 1-0.

The visitors' main problem is their lack of goals. The national team have scored just three times in their last five games, while three of their previous five away matches ended in defeat. In addition, the team have lost their last three competitive matches.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • DR Congo have avoided defeat in six of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
  • Equatorial Guinea have scored just three goals in their last five games.
  • DR Congo avoided defeat in two of their previous three head-to-head meetings.

The hosts should exploit their opponents' attacking weakness: DR Congo vs Equatorial Guinea prediction

DR Congo have the advantage of playing at home and head into the match in more stable condition. The team have already shown that they can compete with strong opponents, and now they face a side that rarely scores and regularly drops points.

Equatorial Guinea may try to keep the game tight, but their current attacking form significantly limits their options going forward. If the hosts make the most of their territorial advantage, they should claim victory in their opening qualifying match.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.7
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