Home fortress versus in-form favorite: prediction for Kalmar vs Malmö

Kalmar FF vs Malmoe FF prediction Photo: skysports.com / Author unknown
Allsvenskan Sweden (Round 13) 20 july 2026, 13:00
Finished
2 : 2
Sweden, Kalmar, Guldfaageln Arena
Carl Gustafsson
13'
Charlie Rosenqvist
33'
30'
Noah Aastrand John
64'
Adrian Skogmar

The upcoming round of the Swedish championship will see Kalmar take on Malmö on Monday, July 20. The hosts, with 13 points from 12 matches, sit in 12th place, while the visitors have collected 19 points, occupying sixth position and aiming for their fourth consecutive victory.

Kalmar: home ground remains the main advantage

Toni Koskela's side returned to the Allsvenskan after finishing second in the Superettan, so their primary goal remains survival in the top flight. In the previous round, Kalmar fell 0-2 to Hammarby, although earlier in July they confidently beat Örgryte 3-0.

On their own turf, the league newcomers look far more convincing: 13 points from six home matches and four victories place them fourth in the league in home performance. In attack, the hosts rely on Anthony Olusanya, who has scored four goals in 14 matches, and Arsenal loanee Charles Sagoe Jr.

Malmö: three straight wins reignite title ambitions

Malmö enter the fixture riding a three-match winning streak, having dismantled Göteborg 4-0 in their latest outing. After a rough patch of three consecutive defeats, the visitors have noticeably improved, cutting the gap to third place down to just two points.

The main threat to Kalmar's defense will be Erik Botheim, who has already found the net 14 times in 19 appearances this season. Alongside him, Sead Haksabanovic - who has seven goals in all competitions - forms a dangerous attacking duo, although injuries to Anders Christiansen and Pontus Jansson limit Malmö's squad options.

Match facts and head-to-heads

  • Kalmar have won four of their six home league games, collecting 13 points in those matches.
  • Malmö have claimed three straight victories, including a 4-0 thrashing of Göteborg.
  • Erik Botheim has scored 14 goals in 19 matches this season.

The hosts can halt the favorite: prediction for Kalmar vs Malmö

Malmö's current form makes them favorites, but their away results are far from flawless: three wins, one draw, and two defeats in six matches. What's more, Kalmar play with far more confidence at home than on the road, and have already proven they can consistently earn points in front of their fans.

The visitors boast a more potent attack and are riding a wave of momentum, but the hosts should have enough chances in front of goal. This match promises to be open and high-scoring, with Malmö's superior class likely offset by Koskela's side's impressive home statistics.

Prediction on game Total over 2.5
Odds: 1.65
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