Home advantage could decide the derby again: Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction

Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
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England, London, Stamford Bridge

The eighth-round Premier League clash between Chelsea and Tottenham will take place on October 24, 2026, at Stamford Bridge. The hosts have hit good form after two consecutive victories and moved into the top four, while Spurs only secured their first win of the campaign in the previous round. The history of this London rivalry clearly favors Chelsea.

Chelsea: attack firing as winning run gathers pace

Xabi Alonso's side have won their last two Premier League matches, first thrashing Bournemouth 5-1 before comfortably beating Everton 2-0. The victory in Liverpool was particularly important, as Chelsea kept a clean sheet in a league match for the first time in 22 games. The Londoners have scored 17 goals in seven rounds — only Brighton and Manchester City have scored more.

Another argument in the hosts' favor is their excellent home record in London derbies. Chelsea have lost only one of their last 16 such matches at Stamford Bridge, while they have won six consecutive league meetings with Tottenham. Despite Emiliano Martinez's injury and other squad absences, the hosts still possess plenty of quality in attack thanks to Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro, and Morgan Rogers.

Tottenham: first win came too late

Roberto De Zerbi's side finally secured their first Premier League victory of the season in the seventh round, beating Coventry 3-1. James Maddison, Omar Marmoush, and Ben Davies helped end a six-match winless run, but the overall picture remains worrying. Tottenham sit 16th and have won only four league matches throughout 2026.

Spurs have historically struggled particularly badly at Stamford Bridge. In 36 away trips to Chelsea in the Premier League era, they have won just once, while their last eight visits have yielded only two points. Squad issues are another problem: Rodrigo Bentancur is suspended, while several first-team players are still recovering from injuries.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Chelsea have won their last six Premier League matches against Tottenham.
  • Tottenham have won only once in 36 away trips to Stamford Bridge in the Premier League era.
  • Chelsea have scored 17 goals in their opening seven league matches.

The hosts' attack should prevail: Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction

Tottenham finally received an emotional boost after their first win of the season, but one successful performance is not enough to suggest a complete turnaround. The team remains inconsistent, gives opponents too many opportunities, and is heading to one of the most difficult stadiums in its history.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are on the rise, consistently creating plenty of chances and boasting the stronger attacking unit. Even with squad problems, the hosts look better organized and should be able to exploit the weaknesses in their opponents' defense.

Prediction on game Win Chelsea
Odds: 1.75
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4.95
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