Hatayspor vs Fenerbahce prediction, H2H and probable line-ups – 26 May 2025
The final match of the 35th round of the Turkish Super Lig will take place on May 26, 2025, as Hatayspor hosts Fenerbahce on their home turf. Kick-off is set for 19:00 Central European Time. Let's dive into a prediction for the winner of this showdown.
Hatayspor
Hatayspor approaches this fixture with nothing left to play for in the league. The team currently sits 18th in the table with 23 points, having scored 41 goals and conceded 67—the second-worst defensive record in the league. Despite their relegation already being confirmed, Hatayspor has shown unexpected resilience in recent rounds: first, a 1-1 away draw with Goztepe, followed by an emphatic 5-0 victory over Adanademirspor, also on the road.
However, their home form tells a different story. Hatayspor is on a three-game losing streak at home. Additionally, in their last four home meetings with Fenerbahce, they have always come up short.
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce, for their part, also have nothing left to contest in the league. The team is guaranteed to finish second with 81 points and can't catch Galatasaray, who have just secured their 25th Turkish title. At the same time, Fenerbahce themselves are out of reach for their pursuers.
In recent rounds, the Istanbul club hasn't looked particularly convincing. They played out a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Kayserispor, then suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Besiktas. Galatasaray capitalized on these slip-ups to pull away for good.
Nevertheless, Fenerbahce remain solid on the road. In the 2025 calendar year, they have not lost a single away match in any competition. In the Turkish Super Lig, their away winning streak has reached five matches. In each of these five away games, Fenerbahce have scored at least three goals, underlining their attacking prowess away from home.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Hatayspor have failed to win 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Hatayspor have lost 4 of their last 6 home games.
- Fenerbahce have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Fenerbahce are on a 5-match away winning streak.
- 8 of Fenerbahce's last 9 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Fenerbahce have won the last 8 head-to-head matches against Hatayspor.
- Fenerbahce have won their last 4 away games against Hatayspor.
Probable line-ups
- Hatayspor: Dadiuk, Kilama, Kurekci, Calvo, Sertel, Matondo, Saglam, Boutobba, Bamgboye, Fernandes, Strandberg.
- Fenerbahce: Livakovic, Muldur, Djiku, Skriniar, Ayydin, Yuksek, Kostic, Szymanski, Tadic, Talisca, En-Nesyri.
Hatayspor vs Fenerbahce match prediction
Given the current standings, recent form, and head-to-head history, Fenerbahce are the clear favorites. They have been dominant away from home, racking up five straight away wins and consistently scoring at least three goals per match. Meanwhile, Hatayspor have lost motivation, struggled at home, and have come up short in their recent meetings with Fenerbahce. Expect a confident Fenerbahce victory by a comfortable margin. My pick for this match is Fenerbahce to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.58.
