Hajduk vs Pafos: one of the most intriguing ties of the Europa League second qualifying round - 23.07.2026

Hajduk Split vs Pafos FC prediction Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images
Europa League (Round 2) 23 july 2026, 15:00
- : -
International, Split, Stadion Poljud

The second qualifying round of the Europa League has already thrown up several fascinating matchups, and the showdown between Hajduk and Pafos is certainly among the most enticing.

The first leg will take place on July 23 at the legendary Poljud Stadium in Split, where Croatian fans are renowned for generating one of the most electric atmospheres in Europe.

On paper, this is a classic clash of experience versus ambition. Hajduk boasts a storied history and a massive fanbase, while Pafos has transformed in recent years from an average Cypriot side into a regular fixture in European competitions—a team no longer seen as an easy opponent. The pairing was set during UEFA’s June draw, and the first matches of the second qualifying round kick off on July 23.

Hajduk on a roll

The Croatian side comes into this tie in high spirits. In the first qualifying round, the Whites confidently dispatched Slovakia’s Zilina, winning the return leg 2-0 and advancing without any unnecessary drama. The team showcased organized football, defended solidly, and fully deserved their ticket to the next round.

Crucially, Hajduk’s season has already officially started. The players are gradually finding their rhythm, while the coaching staff has the chance to both experiment and demand maximum focus from the squad.

Pafos out to make more European noise

A few years ago, Pafos’ participation in the Europa League might have come as a surprise, but now the Cypriot club is rightly considered a serious force. The club continues to develop rapidly, consistently strengthens its squad, and has already accumulated substantial international experience.
In recent seasons, the team has repeatedly proven it can hold its own against more illustrious opponents. That’s why underestimating the Cypriots would be a major mistake. Moreover, with their squad depth and individual quality, Pafos are capable of challenging almost any club at this stage of the competition.

What to watch for?

Hajduk’s main advantage is their home stadium. At Poljud, the Croatians always play with a different level of energy, and the support from the stands often becomes a true twelfth man.

But don’t expect Pafos to sit back. Most likely, the Cypriots will focus on possession and quick attacks down the flanks, aiming to grab that crucial away goal and keep the tie alive for the return leg.
A lot will hinge on the opening 20–25 minutes. If the hosts can impose a high tempo early, Pafos could find it tough. But if the visitors weather the initial storm, the game could settle into a more pragmatic battle.

In terms of squad quality, the teams look quite evenly matched, so there’s no reason to expect an easy ride for either side. However, the home advantage, experience in these kinds of matches, and the electric atmosphere at Poljud give Hajduk a slight edge.
Still, Pafos have enough quality to find the net and keep their chances alive ahead of the return fixture in Cyprus.

Prediction: both teams to score – yes.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.6
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