Guarani vs Boston River prediction, H2H and probable lineups - May 29, 2025
One of the matchups of the 6th round of the Copa Sudamericana group stage will take place on Thursday at the Arsenio Erico Stadium in Asunción, where local side Guarani will host Uruguay’s Boston River. Here’s my pick for the outcome of this clash.
Match preview
Paraguayan outfit Guarani approach the final round of the group stage in peak form and with full motivation: the team is fighting for a playoff spot and has a solid chance to secure second place. The "Cacique" are especially dominant on their home ground, claiming 6 out of 8 points in the Copa Sudamericana at home, including victories over Independiente Medellín (2-1) and Nacional Potosí (2-0).
Overall, Guarani have proven to be a formidable home side. Five wins in their last eight home matches across all competitions is a stat that commands respect. A crucial detail: the team rarely loses focus in decisive moments, which could be the key factor in their battle for a playoff berth.
Uruguayan side Boston River head to Paraguay with no tournament motivation — they’ve already been eliminated from the race for the next stage. Their recent defeat to Nacional Potosí (0-3) only highlighted the ongoing slump: just one win in five matches, and that came at home. On the road, Boston River have looked especially lackluster — four losses in their last five away games and not a single goal scored in their last three trips.
Even on the domestic front, Boston River are struggling: just one point from their last two games, including a loss to Racing Montevideo in the opening round of the Torneo Intermedio, underlining the team’s severe drop in form. It’s unlikely this match will be a breakthrough for the visitors — most likely, their aim will be to finish the tournament respectably, but not much more.
Probable lineups
- Guarani: Rodriguez, Perez, Vargas, Lopez, Cantero, Mansur, Martinez, Benitez Cabrera, Fernandez, Mendieta
- Boston River: Antunes, Acosta, Gomez, Bortagaray, Martinez, Amado, Vera, Albarracin, Barcia, Anello, Gonzalez
Match facts and head-to-head
- The first leg ended in a 3-3 draw
- The "over 2.5 goals" bet has landed in Guarani’s last three matches
- Both teams to score has come through in Guarani’s last three games
Prediction
Guarani are playing at home, have everything to play for, and are showing confident performances both in attack and defense. Boston River, on the other hand, are faltering at the end of the group stage, looking out of sorts both physically and mentally. Taking all factors into account, our prediction: "Guarani to win with a -1.0 handicap" at odds of 1.55.
