Guadalajara – Ceuta: Will Ceuta extend their winning run and advance in the cup?

CD Guadalajara vs AD Ceuta FC prediction Photo: https://x.com/ADCeuta_FC
CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara
Copa del Rey Spain (Round 2) 02 dec 2025, 14:00
Finished
1 : 0
Spain,
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Alejandro Canizo
44'

On Tuesday, 2 December, the third round of the Copa del Rey features a clash between Guadalajara and Ceuta. Kickoff is set for 20:00 SAST, and I’m offering a betting angle for this matchup.

Guadalajara – Ceuta: Match facts and head-to-head

  • Guadalajara are winless in five straight matches: two draws and three defeats.
  • Guadalajara have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight consecutive games.
  • Ceuta have won their last two matches, though previously suffered three defeats in a row.
  • Ceuta have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their fixtures this season, compared to Guadalajara’s 13%.
  • In 35% of their games, Ceuta concede in both halves; Guadalajara do so in 33%.
  • Guadalajara have lost 27% of their matches to nil; Ceuta 18%.
  • Their most recent meeting was back in 2010, when Ceuta beat Guadalajara 2–1.

Guadalajara – Ceuta: Match preview

Guadalajara compete in Primera RFEF Group 1 and are currently struggling. After 14 rounds, they’ve collected 14 points and sit 17th in the table, three points off 15th place. They are winless in their last five league outings with two draws and three defeats. However, they have fared better in the Copa del Rey, having beaten Cacereño 2–1 at home in the previous round.

Ceuta represent La Liga 2 and are enjoying an impressive campaign. They sit just outside the top six and are firmly in the hunt for the promotion playoff spots. After 16 rounds, they have 24 points, occupy eighth place and trail sixth by only a single point. In the previous Copa del Rey round, Ceuta defeated La Unión 2–0 and now have a strong chance of advancing again.

Probable line-ups

  • Guadalajara: Razak, Alex Ortíz, Aitor Fernández, César Soriano, Gaffour, Álvaro Antón, Cristian, Jony, Vicente Pérez, Gerard Badia, Juanjo
  • Ceuta: Guillermo, Carlos Hernández, Diego González, José Matos, Aisar Ahmed, Cristian, Anuar, Bodiger, Koné, Rubén Díez, Marcos Fernández

Prediction

Guadalajara will have home advantage, but Ceuta remain favourites to progress. I believe they have the quality to move on to the next round, and my recommendation is a bet on the visitors to win.

Prediction on game Win AD Ceuta FC
Odds: 1.97
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