Gremio vs Vasco da Gama prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 20, 2025
One of the key clashes of the 34th round of the Brazilian Championship will take place on Thursday at the Arena do Gremio in Porto Alegre, where the local side Gremio hosts Vasco da Gama. I’m offering a bet on the outcome of this encounter with promising chances for success.
Match preview
November has been far from ideal for Gremio: the team has picked up just a single point from three Serie A matches. This slump has left the club dangerously close to the relegation zone—just five points clear—and at risk of extending their winless run to four games, which would match their worst streak of the season.
What’s especially alarming is their home form: the defeat to Cruzeiro was their first home loss of the current campaign, and another slip-up could see Gremio lose back-to-back home games for the first time. Still, the club sits only two points away from the Copa Sudamericana zone and boasts an impressive head-to-head record—14 home matches against Vasco without defeat, 10 of which were victories.
November hasn’t been kind to the Rio de Janeiro side either: three matches, three losses, just one goal scored, and eight conceded. Despite this downturn, the team remains in 11th place and in the hunt for a Copa Sudamericana berth.
The silver lining for Vasco has been their away form: two wins in their last three road games. However, the 0-3 defeat to Botafogo exposed ongoing issues with consistency. In nearly 20 years, Vasco have managed just one win at the Arena do Gremio—back in 2006—and away matches against Gremio have remained a daunting challenge ever since.
Probable lineups
- Gremio: Volpi, Lucas, Noriega, Kannemann, Marlon, Artur, Cristaldo, Alisson, Aravena, Amuzu, Vinicius
- Vasco da Gama: Jardim, Rodrigues, Cuesta, Renan, Piton, Barros, Moura, Tche Tche, Coutinho, Moreira, Rayan
Match facts and head-to-head
- Gremio are unbeaten at home against Vasco da Gama in their last 14 meetings across all competitions.
- Vasco da Gama have not picked up a single point in November’s Serie A fixtures.
- Gremio have dropped 13 points this season when leading after halftime.
Prediction
Despite both teams struggling for form, Vasco seem to have a slight edge thanks to their experience and more potent attack. Our pick for this match: Vasco double chance at 1.64.
