Raphael Durand
Dailysports's expert
One of the matches of the 12th round of the Brazilian Championship will take place on Friday at the Porto Alegre Arena, where local side Gremio will host Corinthians. Here’s a bet suggestion on the outcome of this clash with a solid set of odds.
Match preview
The "Tricolor Gaúcho" have shown significant improvement after a sluggish start (only one win in the first six rounds) and are now on a roll. Their latest confident 2-0 away win over Juventude marked their third consecutive victory in all competitions. Especially noteworthy is their defensive solidity: Gremio hasn’t conceded in four straight matches.
The team has cut the gap to the top six down to just three points, meaning they’re fully motivated to break into the Copa Libertadores zone. A home match against a direct table rival is the perfect chance to extend their winning streak and finally end a long winless run against Corinthians.
"Timão" are going through a rough patch — being knocked out of the Copa Sudamericana after losing to Huracán was a bitter blow. There was a chance for redemption in the league, but even at home they couldn’t overcome Vitória, ending with a drab 0-0 draw. What’s more, Corinthians’ attacking line has failed to score in three straight matches.
Their away form is especially worrying — not a single league win on the road (2 draws, 3 losses), putting the team in a tough spot ahead of their trip to Porto Alegre. All signs point to Corinthians’ attacking woes continuing this round.
Probable lineups
- Gremio: Tiago Volpi – João Pedro (G. Martins de Souza Santos), Walter Leonardo, Walter Kannemann, Marlon – Villasanti, Dodi – Cristaldo, Franco da Rocha, Carbajal Olivera – Braithwaite
- Corinthians: Hugo Souza – Mateuzinho, Ramalho, Carlos de Menezes Junior, Bidu – Maycon, Raniéle, Breno – Talles Magno, Memphis Depay, Hernandez
Match facts and head-to-head
- Gremio haven’t beaten Corinthians since 2018 — a run of 12 matches
- Corinthians have failed to score in three consecutive games
- Gremio have won their last three matches and kept four straight clean sheets.
Prediction
Form, confidence, and home advantage are all firmly on Gremio’s side right now. Given Corinthians’ current struggles and their lack of goals in recent fixtures, the "Tricolor" have a golden opportunity to finally break their winless head-to-head streak. Our bet for this match: "Gremio to win with a (0) handicap" at odds of 1.68.
