Greece vs Netherlands match prediction: teams to battle for top spot in the group

Greece vs Netherlands prediction Photo by Dean Mouhtaropoulos/Getty Images
UEFA Nations League A (Round 3) 01 oct 2026, 14:45
- : -
International, Thessaloniki, Toumba Stadium

Now this is a truly heavyweight clash! Greece and the Netherlands will meet in the third round of the Nations League, with both teams heading into the showdown as the leaders of Group A2. Greece have collected six points from their opening two matches, while the Oranje have four points to their name. As a result, the upcoming game in Thessaloniki could have a major impact on the standings in the group.

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Greece have made an almost perfect start to the tournament. In the opening round, they beat Serbia 2-1, before producing the biggest upset of the round with a victory over Germany in Augsburg. Dimitrios Kourbelis scored the only goal in the 74th minute. Once again, the Greeks showcased their greatest strengths: discipline, a compact off-the-ball structure and the ability to stay patient until the final whistle.
The Netherlands opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw against Germany, then beat Serbia 2-1 away from home in the second round. Young striker Mexx Meerdink was the star of the match, scoring twice. However, there is also some bad news: Cody Gakpo suffered an ankle injury in Belgrade and has already left the national team's camp, meaning he will miss the match against Greece.

The head-to-head record is also worth examining. The Netherlands hold a significant advantage here, with nine wins to Greece's one, while one more meeting ended in a draw. Their most recent competitive encounter came in the Euro 2024 qualifying campaign, with the Netherlands winning both matches, 1-0 and 3-0.

But this Greece side is clearly not a team to be underestimated. After two consecutive victories, the hosts will surely look to play more boldly and draw energy from the support of the Toumba crowd. The Netherlands, meanwhile, will need to take control of possession and try to unlock their opponents' defense through individual quality and movement in the final third.

All in all, we are in for a highly intriguing match: Greece will look to maintain their perfect start and hold on to top spot, while the Netherlands will aim to close the gap in the standings. With just two points separating the teams after two rounds, the margin for error is truly tiny.

My prediction: both teams to score - yes.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.65
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