Greece have already beaten Germany and lead the group: prediction for Greece — Germany

Greece vs Germany prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
UEFA Nations League A (Round 4) 04 oct 2026, 14:45
- : -
International, Thessaloniki, Toumba Stadium

The fourth-round UEFA Nations League match between Greece and Germany will take place on October 4 at Toumba Stadium. Greece have collected seven points and sit top of the group, while Germany have four points and occupy third place.

Greece: seven points and a win over Germany

Ivan Jovanović's team have made an extremely confident start to this year's Nations League. The Greeks first beat Serbia 2-1, then stunned Germany with a 1-0 victory, before drawing 2-2 with the Netherlands in the third round despite leading by two goals.

As a result, Greece remain unbeaten and are genuine contenders for top spot. At the same time, Christos Tzolis's participation is in serious doubt, while Georgios Masouras could be handed a starting berth after scoring and providing an assist against the Netherlands.

Germany: first win came only in the third round

Jürgen Klopp's team opened the tournament with a 1-1 draw against the Netherlands, before losing 0-1 to Greece. Germany only managed to claim their first victory in their third match, beating Serbia 2-0.

The visitors are far from full strength. Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala are unavailable due to injuries, so much will depend on Serge Gnabry and Florian Wirtz in attack.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Greece have not lost any of their three matches in this year's Nations League.
  • At the end of September, Greece beat Germany for the first time in history — 1-0.
  • Germany secured their first win in the tournament only in the third round.

The hosts can repeat their September success: prediction for Greece — Germany

Greece look significantly more stable at the moment and have already shown that they know how to contain Germany. Jovanović's team make good use of their chances and head into the match with the confidence of group leaders.

Germany are gradually improving, but their personnel problems remain serious. Without Havertz and Musiala, the visitors' attack could lack variety, especially against an opponent who beat them very recently.

Prediction on game Greece wont lose
Odds: 1.93
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