Golden State Warriors — Indiana Pacers, prediction and H2H — November 10, 2025
Golden State Warriors
Indiana Pacers
On November 10, 2025, the NBA regular season match between Golden State Warriors and Indiana Pacers will take place at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors started the season quite confidently, winning four of their first five games. However, in their last five matchups, the team’s performance has declined — four losses and just one win, which came at home against the Phoenix Suns.
The Warriors have also dropped their last two road games — first to Sacramento 116–121, and then to the Denver Nuggets 104–129. With these results, Golden State now hold a 5–5 record and sit ninth in the Western Conference standings.
At home, however, the team has been dominant. The Warriors have played four home games this season and won all of them.
Offensively, Golden State haven’t been at their best — averaging 116.1 points per game, ranking 19th in the league. Defensively, things aren’t perfect either — the Warriors allow 116.7 points per game, which places them 13th in defensive rating.
Stephen Curry remains the team’s top scorer, averaging 26.8 points per game. Jonathan Kuminga leads the team in rebounds with 7.1 per game, while Draymond Green is the top playmaker with 6.1 assists per game.
However, Curry has missed recent games due to illness, and his absence has clearly impacted the team’s results.
When it comes to home head-to-head games against the Indiana Pacers, the Warriors have struggled. They’ve lost each of their last six home meetings against the Pacers.
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers look nothing like the team that reached the finals last season. In the first nine games of the current campaign, the Pacers have managed only one win, which came at home against the Golden State Warriors 114–109. Their most recent game was also a loss to the Denver Nuggets, falling 100–117, just like the Warriors.
Currently, Indiana sit 13th in the Western Conference with a 1–8 record, showing disappointing results. Offensively, the team ranks 27th in the league, averaging only 110.3 points per game. Defensively, they rank 22nd, conceding 119.2 points per game on average.
Key players include Bennedict Mathurin, the team’s leading scorer, averaging 31 points per game. Pascal Siakam leads in both rebounds and assists, contributing 7.9 boards and 5.8 assists per game.
However, Indiana face significant roster issues. Bennedict Mathurin will miss this matchup, and several other key players are also unavailable. Tyrese Halliburton, the main star from last season, remains sidelined with an Achilles injury. These absences clearly affect the team’s performance.
Despite these struggles, Indiana has historically performed well against Golden State. In the last four meetings, the Pacers have won each game, and over the last eight matchups, they’ve lost to the Warriors only once.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Golden State Warriors have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
- Golden State Warriors have won 7 of their last 8 home games.
- 5 of the last 6 Warriors games have gone under 228.5 total points.
- Indiana Pacers have lost 10 of their last 11 games.
- Indiana Pacers have lost their last 5 road games.
- 7 of the last 8 Pacers games have gone under 228.5 total points.
- Indiana Pacers have won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- Warriors have lost their last 4 home head-to-head games against Indiana.
- 5 last head-to-head meetings have gone under 228.5 total points.
Golden State Warriors — Indiana Pacers prediction
Both teams enter this matchup struggling for form. Golden State have managed just one win in their last five games, while Indiana have won only once this season — against the Warriors. Golden State remain strong at home, but Indiana hold a strong recent record in head-to-head matchups, losing just once in their last eight meetings. Both teams are dealing with roster issues and will be missing key players. Considering all these factors, we expect a tense, low-scoring contest. Our bet for this game: total points under 230.5 at odds of 1.63.
