Germany vs Poland prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 4 July 2025
Germany
Poland
One of the highlight fixtures of the Women's European Championship sees Germany face Poland on Friday, July 4, at the AFG Arena in St. Gallen, Switzerland. I’m tipping a wager on goals in this encounter, with a promising value on the odds.
Match preview
Germany come into this match in scintillating form, firing on all cylinders in attack. Over their last five matches, the Germans have netted an astonishing 24 goals, showcasing clinical finishing and relentless offensive play. The team has confidently won five of their last six games, drawing only once, and kept three clean sheets in the process.
History is also on Germany’s side in head-to-head meetings with Poland—across their last two encounters, Germany claimed emphatic victories, scoring at least three goals each time. This is a team that always hits the ground running in tournament play, and judging by their stats, they have no intention of slowing down any time soon.
Poland may be considered underdogs in terms of squad strength, but they too are in excellent form—unbeaten in their last 11 matches. While they haven’t faced many high-profile opponents during this stretch, their consistency and confidence give them plenty of optimism heading into the tournament opener.
The Poles have shown decent attacking intent and will likely look for opportunities on the counter. Crucially, even against top-tier sides like Germany, Poland have the firepower to find the net, making an "over" bet very reasonable—especially given the attacking flair of both squads.
Probable lineups
- Germany: Berger, Gwinn, Minge, Knaak, Kett, Senß, Lohmann, Cerci, Freigang, Bühl, Schüller
- Poland: Szemik, Achcińska, Jedlińska, Kamczyk (c), Krzemiń, Matysik, Słowińska, Szymczak, Tomasiak, Wiankowska, Wosz
Match facts and head-to-head
- Germany have scored at least 3 goals in each of their last two head-to-head matches against Poland
- All of Germany’s last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals
- Poland are unbeaten in their last 11 matches
Prediction
Germany are one of the most prolific teams in the tournament and always play on the front foot, especially against lesser-ranked opposition. Poland, meanwhile, have shown real grit and will look to answer Germany’s attacking threat with chances of their own. Given both teams’ current form and scoring stats, a bet on "over 3.5 goals" at odds of 1.73 looks the most logical and justified pick.
