

On Saturday, November 16, Germany will host Bosnia and Herzegovina in the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League A. The match kicks off at 20:45 CET, and my prediction focuses on the total number of goals.
Interesting Facts and Head-to-Head History
- Germany will play a home match in Freiburg for the first time in history.
- Germany is unbeaten in regulation time in their last 13 matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina has won just 1 of their last 14 away matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina is winless in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Germany has never lost to Bosnia and Herzegovina, winning twice and drawing once in their three meetings.
Match Preview
Under the guidance of Julian Nagelsmann, the German national team appears to be experiencing a resurgence. The “Bundesmannschaft” impressed on home soil in Euro 2024, despite being eliminated in the quarterfinals by Spain after conceding in the final minutes of extra time.
Germany’s previous Nations League campaign was disappointing, but this time they’re on track to reach the tournament’s playoff round. After four rounds, Germany leads the group with 10 points. One more victory will secure them the top spot, as both the Netherlands and Hungary trail by five points.
In contrast, Bosnia and Herzegovina, despite a successful previous Nations League campaign, has struggled on multiple fronts this season. They finished fifth in their Euro 2024 qualifying group and lost to Ukraine in the playoff semifinals. In the current Nations League, under the leadership of local legend Sergej Barbarez, Bosnia has only managed a single point—a draw against Hungary.
The situation in the group is dire for Bosnia. They are four points behind Hungary, and only a win against Germany will keep their hopes alive for retaining their spot in League A.
Probable Lineups
- Germany: Nübel; Kimmich, Rüdiger, Schlotterbeck, Mittelstädt; Groß, Andrich; Musiala, Wirtz, Gnabry; Kleindienst
- Bosnia and Herzegovina: Vasilj; Dedić, Katić, Barišić, Bičakčić, Burnić; Gigović, Huseinbašić; Bašić; Demirović, Džeko
Germany vs Bosnia and Herzegovina predction
With nothing to lose, Bosnia will likely adopt an attacking approach, which should play into Germany’s hands. My prediction is Over 3.5 goals.