Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 04.03.2026
One of the matches of the fourth round of the Turkish Cup group stage will take place on Wednesday at the Kalyon Stadyumu in Gaziantep, where the local side Gaziantep will host Fenerbahce. This clash has strategic significance for the final standings in Group C. Let's analyze the possible outcome of this fixture, taking into account the teams' current form and their head-to-head statistics.
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Match preview
The hosts come into this fixture sitting second in the group with six points after three rounds (goal difference 8:6). Recently, the team has shown a mix of impressive surges and disappointing setbacks: a goalless draw with Samsunspor (0:0), defeats to Trabzonspor (1:2) and Kocaelispor (0:3), but also a resounding cup victory over Keçiörengücü (5:1). At home, Gaziantep have been inconsistent – three defeats in their last six home matches across all competitions.
In attack, the team is capable of surprises, as evidenced by eight goals in three group matches, but defensively they often make positional errors. Their average of 1.59 goals conceded per game highlights a systemic issue when transitioning to defense. Against an opponent with such squad depth, this could prove decisive.
Fenerbahce are currently third in the group, also with six points and a goal difference of 5:3. The "Canaries" have shown a more balanced approach: recent results include draws with Antalyaspor (2:2) and Kasimpasa (1:1), an away win over Trabzonspor (3:2), and European success against Nottingham Forest (2:1). Away from home, the team looks especially confident – four wins and two draws in their last six matches on the road.
The head-to-head history is entirely in favor of the Istanbul giants: six consecutive wins in direct meetings, including emphatic victories of 4:0 and 4:1. Fenerbahce outclass their rivals in all key metrics – 1.88 goals per match versus 1.45 for the hosts, higher possession rates, and significantly more dangerous attacks. Under these circumstances, the visitors' favorite status is justified.
Probable lineups
- Gaziantep: Bojan, Sancu, Abena, Mudjacic, Sangare, Ozcicek, Kamara, Rodriguez, Kozlowski, Bayo, Longoi.
- Fenerbahce: Ederson, Demir, Guendouzi, Osterwolde, Kante, Semedo, Asensio, Yuksek, Merkan, Sherif, Akturkoglu.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Fenerbahce have won their last six head-to-head meetings against Gaziantep in all competitions.
- In this season's Turkish Cup, both teams have collected six points after three rounds.
- Fenerbahce have not lost away from home since September 2025.
Prediction
The hosts can put up a fight thanks to home support and an aggressive opening attacking phase, but the difference in class and squad depth is evident. Fenerbahce are solid away from home and have a psychological edge in this match-up. The visitors are highly likely to capitalize on their superiority and take all three points.
