Freiburg vs Wolfsburg: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 03.05.2026
One of the fixtures of the 32nd round of the German championship will take place on Sunday at the Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg, where the local side Freiburg will host Wolfsburg. The hosts are desperately clinging to their European ambitions after a painful losing streak, while the visitors arrive in search of crucial points that could prove decisive in their battle for survival.
Match preview
The last week and a half has been a body blow to Freiburg’s entire season. First, Julian Schuster’s side crashed out of the German Cup after a 1-2 defeat to Stuttgart, conceding the decisive goal in the 119th minute. Then came a 0-4 drubbing from Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, followed by a 1-2 loss to Braga in the Europa League, once again conceding a late winner.
Against this backdrop, the home game against Wolfsburg becomes a test not so much of class as of nerves. Freiburg are still fighting Eintracht for seventh place, but fatigue and squad rotation are inevitable: after the European match, Schuster is expected to refresh his defense with Günter, Kübler, Ogbus, and Ginter, while more drive is anticipated up front from Höler and Scherhant.
Wolfsburg enter this round knowing it’s their last corridor for safety. Their 12-match winless streak is over, and four points in their last two outings — a 2-1 win over Union and a goalless draw with Borussia Mönchengladbach — have kept Dieter Hecking’s team alive, but not out of the relegation zone.
The Wolves’ predicament is compounded by the fixture list: with Bayern up next, the trip to Freiburg is a must-win, as a draw might not be enough. Hecking is unlikely to tamper with the lineup that has started to grind out results, especially since Vinícius Souza has avoided a serious injury and is ready to start.
Probable lineups
- Freiburg: Atubolu, Günter, Ogbus, Ginter, Kübler, Manzambi, Eggestein, Grifo, Suzuki, Scherhant, Höler.
- Wolfsburg: Grabara, Belocian, Vavro, Koulierakis, Maehle, Souza, Eriksen, Zenter, Wimmer, Amoura, Pejcinovic.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Freiburg have lost their last three matches in all competitions: to Stuttgart in the German Cup, Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, and Braga in the Europa League.
- Freiburg have won five of their last six meetings with Wolfsburg.
- In nine of Freiburg’s last ten matches, at least three goals have been scored.
- Wolfsburg have conceded in 23 of their last 25 matches.
- In their last five games, Wolfsburg have averaged 1.20 goals per match.
- In four of Freiburg’s last five matches, the “over 2.5 goals” bet has come in.
Prediction
Freiburg currently look tired and emotionally drained, but at home, they’re a much more resilient side. All three recent defeats came away from their own stadium, and back in Freiburg, the hosts should be able to recapture their trademark intensity — especially against an opponent who will have to take risks and push forward. Wolfsburg have gained a slight boost after securing four points in two matches, but their play remains too fragile to warrant any confidence in their survival bid. The visitors need a win, but that very desperation could work against them: a single lapse in structure or a set-piece mistake could decide the outcome.
