Freiburg vs Hamburg: can either side start the new year with a win?

Bundesliga Germany (Round 16) 10 jan 2026, 09:30
Finished
2 : 1
Germany, Freiburg, Europa-Park Stadion
Vincenzo Grifo
53' (P)
Igor Matanovic
83'
48'
Luka Vuskovic

On Saturday, January 10, Freiburg will face Hamburg in a Matchday 16 fixture of the German Bundesliga. Kick-off is set for 15:30 CET, and I am offering a betting pick for this game.

Freiburg vs Hamburg: match facts and H2H

  • Freiburg are unbeaten in three consecutive matches: two wins and a draw.
  • Freiburg have scored at least one goal in six straight matches.
  • Hamburg have won only once in their last four games.
  • Hamburg have conceded at least one goal per match in eight consecutive games.
  • At home, Freiburg have lost just one match this season.
  • Hamburg are on a three-match losing streak away from home.
  • Hamburg have the second-worst scoring record in the league with just 16 goals.
  • In 38% of their matches this season, Freiburg have scored in both halves.
  • Only 4% of Freiburg’s matches this season have ended in a scoreless defeat, compared to 22% for Hamburg.
  • Freiburg have won a quarter of their matches this season with a clean sheet.
  • The previous head-to-head meeting between these sides ended in a 2:1 win for Freiburg.

Freiburg vs Hamburg: match preview

Freiburg went into the winter break in ninth place in the Bundesliga standings. In their final match of 2025, Freiburg defeated Wolfsburg 4:3. They are currently on a three-match unbeaten run, winning two of those games. The team now has 20 points after 15 rounds and trails the European qualification places by six points. They will have a chance to push for a top-six finish if they can extend their unbeaten run.

Hamburg have returned to the Bundesliga and are now battling to establish themselves and retain their place in Germany’s top flight. They have collected 16 points from 15 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. The team are four points clear of the relegation zone, meaning a survival fight still lies ahead. Hamburg’s form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two defeats and a draw, the latter coming in their final game of 2025.

Probable line-ups

  • Freiburg: Atubolu; Kubler, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter; Eggestein, Osterhage; Beste, Manzambi, Grifo; Holer
  • Hamburg: Heuer Fernandes; Capaldo, Vuskovic, Elfadli; Mikelbrencis, Sambi Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim; Vieira, Konigsdorffer, Dompe

Prediction

Freiburg have been very strong on home soil. They have lost only one match in the first half of the season, and I believe they can start the new year with a victory over Hamburg.

Prediction on game Win Freiburg
Odds: 1.8
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