Fiorentina vs Milan prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 11 January 2026
One of the standout fixtures of Serie A’s 20th round will unfold on Sunday at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence, where local side Fiorentina hosts Milan. For the Rossoneri, it’s another crucial test in the Scudetto race, while for La Viola, it’s a high-stakes battle for survival. Here’s a bet on the match outcome with solid chances for success.
Match preview
Despite their tough position in the standings, Fiorentina have recently found new life and begun picking up points. Vanoli’s squad snapped their losing streak with two home wins and came close to snatching three points from Lazio, only to concede in stoppage time. Over these past weeks, La Viola have proven that their fight for survival is anything but empty talk.
Attacking issues remain persistent - neither Dzeko nor Kean are available due to injuries. That means once again the burden will fall on Piccoli and the lively wing play of Parisi and Solomon, who have both impressed lately. A positive sign for Fiorentina is the return of Fazzini, who can inject much-needed creativity into midfield. Fans are especially encouraged by their side’s recent home performances against Milan in recent years.
Milan continue to navigate a rollercoaster season, yet remain among the league leaders and firmly in the title hunt. Allegri’s side narrowly escaped defeat against Genoa, with Rafael Leão once again stepping up - his goal salvaged a point. The Rossoneri’s unpredictable results in recent rounds are a concern, but away from home they are still one of Serie A’s most formidable teams.
At the back, Allegri will have to make do without Tomori, giving De Winter a chance to partner Pavlovic and Gabbia in defense. Up front, the focus will again be on the Leão–Pulisic duo, especially as new signing Füllkrug isn’t ready to start yet. Leão deserves special attention - he loves scoring against Fiorentina, even if most of his goals have come in Milan.
Probable lineups
- Fiorentina: De Gea, Pongracic, Komuzzo, Gosens, Dodo, Fagioli, N'Dour, Mandragora, Gudmundsson, Solomon, Piccoli
- Milan: Maignan, Pavlovic, De Winter, Gabbia, Rabiot, Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Bartesaghi, Pulisic, Leão
Match facts and head-to-head
- The last six meetings between these sides in Florence have always seen both teams score.
- Fiorentina have netted at least once against Milan in six consecutive home fixtures.
- Milan are the only Serie A team yet to lose an away match this season.
Prediction
Fiorentina have always been a tricky opponent for Milan at the Artemio Franchi, but right now La Viola are too dependent on mood and an unstable lineup. The Rossoneri, meanwhile, have a clear objective - the Scudetto chase - and Allegri’s team are traditionally focused and pragmatic away from home. If Leão stays switched on, Milan are capable of grabbing all three points and keeping up the chase with Inter. Given the head-to-head stats at the Artemio Franchi, the best bet here is “Both teams to score” at 1.78.
