Fiorentina vs Genoa prediction: match preview and lineups
The match of the 36th round of the 2025/26 Italian Serie A season between Fiorentina and Genoa will take place on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. At the moment, both teams are sitting in the lower half of the table. Genoa and Fiorentina have already secured their top-flight status, so this game carries little significance in terms of the league standings.
Match preview
Fiorentina are currently 16th with 37 points. Paolo Vanoli's side have finally shrugged off the burden of fighting for survival. The heavy defeat to Roma in the previous round (0:4) was a painful lesson, but now, with relegation mathematically impossible, the Viola will be eager to redeem themselves in front of their home fans in one of the last home fixtures of the season. At the Artemio Franchi, the Florence outfit have rarely lost this calendar year, and with no pressure from the table, they should be able to play more attacking, free-flowing football.
Tactically, Vanoli can afford to experiment and give chances to players who have seen less game time. Up front, Albert Guðmundsson remains a real threat—ironically, he joined the Viola from Genoa. In midfield, Nicolo Fagioli will pull the strings. Now that Fiorentina no longer need to "park the bus" for a single point, we can expect a more open setup with dynamic wing play.
Genoa, under Daniele De Rossi, sit 14th with 40 points. The Rossoblu have already accomplished their seasonal objective, largely thanks to De Rossi, who has stabilized their defense. In recent rounds, they've played with a cool, academic approach, including a 0-0 draw against Atalanta, showing they can enjoy their football without the fear of mistakes.
Genoa's style in this matchup will likely focus on possession and individual skill. Ruslan Malinovskyi and Vitinha remain the key figures in attack. The Genoese are not expected to retreat into a deep block, but rather to go toe-to-toe with Fiorentina, which is exactly in line with De Rossi’s footballing philosophy when the pressure is off.
As for squad news, both teams are close to full strength, which bodes well for an open, high-scoring affair. Fiorentina have all their key players available, including Nicolo Fagioli and David De Gea. Only Moise Kean is unavailable. Genoa are without only backup goalkeeper Siegrist and midfielder Baldanzi. All main attacking players and creative midfielders are fit and ready to go.
Match facts and head-to-head stats
- Fiorentina are winless in their last three matches.
- In five of Genoa’s last seven games, fewer than three goals have been scored.
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina have a big edge: five wins and five draws, with Genoa yet to claim a victory.
- The reverse fixture this season ended in a 2-2 draw.
Probable lineups
- Fiorentina: De Gea - Dodô, Pongračić, Ranieri, Gosens - Fagioli, Mandragora, Ndour - Harrison, Solomon, Guðmundsson
- Genoa: Bijlow - Marcandalli, Østigård, Vásquez - Sabelli, Malinovskyi, Frendrup, Ellertsson - Ekhator, Vitinha, Colombo
Prediction
When two teams with nothing left to lose meet, football often turns into a real spectacle. Fiorentina will attack relentlessly, hoping to make amends to their fans after a lackluster season, while De Rossi’s Genoa are happy to accept the challenge and will look for their chances on the counter. Given the defensive frailties on both sides and the lack of psychological pressure, they should easily surpass the two-goal mark. My prediction: Over 2 total goals.
