Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction, H2H and probable lineups - January 4, 2026

Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 18) 04 jan 2026, 09:00
Finished
1 : 0
Italy, Florence, Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Moise Kean
90' + 2

One of the matches of Serie A’s 18th round will take place on Sunday at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence, where local side Fiorentina will host Cremonese. I propose a bet on low scoring, considering the Viola’s inconsistent form and the visitors’ solid defense.

Match preview

Fiorentina are enduring a dismal season and are, not surprisingly, at the bottom of the table. Paolo Vanoli’s men have lost four of their last five Serie A outings, and their poor finishing remains a major issue—the team has found the net only once in their last two matches.

At home, the Viola have failed to win seven of their last eight league games, and their defense is among the league’s weakest, conceding 28 goals. Almost every home fixture sees Fiorentina’s opponents manage to score, making the club vulnerable even at the Artemio Franchi.

Cremonese, despite their defeat to Napoli in the previous round, are showing competitive football. The team has lost only three times in the last eleven matchdays and is making up for a limited attacking arsenal with a reliable defense.

On the road, Davide Nicola’s men are well-organized, conceding more than once in only one of their last nine away matches. This stability keeps them in mid-table, and against teams in the lower half, Cremonese often pick up points.

Probable lineups

  • Fiorentina: De Gea, Viti, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Dodo, Mandragora, Fagioli, N'Dour, Parisi, Gudmundsson, Kean
  • Cremonese: Audero, Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti, Pezzella, Zerbin, Grassi, Payero, Barbieri, Vardy, Sanabria

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Fiorentina have lost 5 of their 8 home matches in Serie A this season.
  • Cremonese have conceded more than one goal in just one of their 9 away league games.
  • Cremonese have kept a clean sheet in their last three away fixtures.

Prediction

Fiorentina look weak going forward and rarely put on a high-scoring display, even on home turf. Given Cremonese’s defensive reliability on the road, the hosts will struggle to break down a compact back line. Backing Fiorentina’s individual total under 1.5 goals looks the best option.

Prediction on game Fiorentina Total under 1.5
Odds: 1.91
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