Fiorentina have won two matches in a row, but Napoli traditionally excel in Florence: Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction

Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 5) 20 sep 2026, 06:30
Finished
1 : 1
Italy, Florence, Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Alex Jimenez
51'
23'
Billy Gilmour

The Serie A fifth-round clash between Fiorentina and Napoli will take place on September 20 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium. The hosts have come to life since Paolo Vanoli's return and have won their last two matches, while the Neapolitans ended their losing streak with a victory over Bologna in the previous round.

Fiorentina: noticeable progress after the coaching change

Paolo Vanoli's return immediately paid dividends: Fiorentina first defeated Venezia 4-2 and then advanced past Pisa in the Coppa Italia. The team scored seven goals across those two matches.

Franco Mastantuono was particularly impressive, scoring a hat-trick against Venezia. At home, however, the Viola have lost both of their league matches so far — against Frosinone and Torino.

Napoli: a victory after a difficult spell

Massimiliano Allegri's side endured a difficult spell until the last round, suffering consecutive defeats to Inter in Serie A and Arsenal in the Champions League. Napoli then edged Bologna 1-0 thanks to a goal from Stanislav Lobotka.

At the same time, the visitors are dealing with a number of absences: Alex Meret, Scott McTominay, Alessandro Buongiorno and several other players remain sidelined. Frank Anguissa is also doubtful.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Fiorentina have won their last two matches in all competitions and scored seven goals in the process.
  • Napoli have won the last four head-to-head meetings, scoring at least two goals each time.
  • Fiorentina have beaten Napoli at home in Serie A just once in their last 17 meetings.

The visitors' experience could prove decisive: Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction

Fiorentina have improved significantly under Vanoli, but their two victories so far have come against less formidable opponents. Against a more organised Napoli, there will be far less space and time to build attacks.

The Neapolitans are also far from their best, but they look more solid defensively and hold a significant advantage in recent head-to-head meetings. One decisive attacking moment could be enough to settle the outcome of the match.

Prediction on game W2(0)
Odds: 1.75
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