Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor prediction, H2H and probable lineups - January 6, 2026
One of the semifinals of the 2025 Turkish Super Cup will take place on Tuesday at the Yeni Adana Stadium in Adana, where Fenerbahce will square off against Samsunspor. Let’s break down the best bet for this high-stakes clash with a solid chance of success.
Match preview
Domenico Tedesco’s side heads into the Super Cup semifinal after a frustrating defeat to Besiktas in the Turkish Cup. Dropping points served as a stark reminder that, despite their star-studded squad, Fenerbahce can be vulnerable if they underestimate their opponents. Now, the Yellow-Navy Blues are tasked with getting back into their rhythm and reaching a final that has eluded them for over a decade.
All eyes are on new signing Anthony Musaba, who could make his starting debut against his former club. He is set to form an attacking trio with Kerem Akturkoglu and John Duran, while trusted hands Yuksek and Elmas will anchor the midfield. Crucially, after last season’s disappointment against Galatasaray, the club is determined to restore its reputation in this tournament—not just in terms of results, but also pride.
As for their opponents, Samsunspor closed out 2025 on a positive note, defeating Eyupspor in the Turkish Cup and snapping a long winless streak. However, that success changes little—their overall form remains a concern, especially given their personnel issues. The new year begins with a historic chance to reach the final, but the reality is that Thomas Reis faces a daunting uphill battle.
The absence of several key players—including the departed Anthony Musaba, as well as Emre Kilinc and Cherif Ndiaye—has left their attack almost toothless. Defensive woes have also crept in: Samsunspor have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine consecutive matches. At best, they can hope for a gritty contest, but given Fenerbahce’s experience and quality, pulling off an upset would border on miraculous.
Probable lineups
- Fenerbahce: Moraes, Mercan, Osterwolde, Skriniar, Muldur, Yuksek, Elmas, Akturkoglu, Asensio, Aydin, Duran
- Samsunspor: Kocuk, van Drongelen, Satka, Borevković, Yavru, Aydin, Makumbu, Logi Thomasson, Hols, Bulbul, Muandilmadji
Match facts and head-to-head
- Fenerbahce have won just one of their last five matches against Samsunspor.
- Four of the last five head-to-head encounters have ended in a draw.
- Samsunspor have conceded in nine straight matches, including both the Cup and Super Lig clashes.
Prediction
Samsunspor have historically been a tough nut for Fenerbahce to crack, but this time Reis’s team is severely depleted. The loss of their top attacking threats makes their game predictable and largely harmless. Fenerbahce, on the other hand, are highly motivated to reach the final and boast a powerful roster with quality options across the pitch. With proper focus and attacking discipline, Fener should have no trouble booking their place in the decisive stage.
