Everton vs Liverpool: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 19.04.2026
One of the headline clashes of Sunday’s Premier League schedule will unfold in Liverpool, where Everton host Liverpool at Goodison Park for another heated Merseyside derby. Here’s our take on the outcome of this high-stakes encounter, where both teams’ ambitions crank up the tension and intensity to the max.
Match preview
Everton come into the derby in a very stable run of form. David Moyes’ side have lost just once in their last five matches - against league leaders Arsenal—while also claiming impressive wins over Newcastle (3-2) and Chelsea (3-0), proving they’re ready to take on the league’s best. Crucially, Everton remain firmly in the hunt for European places, so their motivation for the derby is sky-high.
The home advantage is particularly significant here. Historically, Everton have been a tough nut for Liverpool to crack at Goodison - just two defeats in the last 12 home derbies and a long unbeaten streak. The squad is at full strength with no new injury concerns, allowing Moyes to stick with his well-drilled, compact, and disciplined tactical setup.
Liverpool, on the other hand, approach this fixture in a much more turbulent emotional state. The Reds have managed just one win in their last five outings, and recent results have been painful: a 0-2 defeat to PSG in the Champions League, a 0-4 thrashing by Manchester City in the cup, and a 1-2 slip against Brighton in the league. A 2-0 victory over Fulham only slightly eased the pressure.
Injuries are compounding Liverpool’s woes. Hugo Ekitike is sidelined long-term, and Alisson, Bradley, and Endo are also absent, affecting squad depth. Still, Liverpool boast immense individual quality, and with no other competitions to distract them, they can focus entirely on the season run-in - where every win is critical in the fight for Champions League qualification.
Probable lineups
- Everton: Pickford, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, Tarkowski, O’Brien, Gueye, Garner, Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, McNeil, Beto.
- Liverpool: Mamardashvili, Frimpong, Konaté, van Dijk, Kerkez, Mac Allister, Gravenberch, Salah, Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Isak.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Everton are unbeaten in eight of their last ten home derbies against Liverpool.
- Seven of the last ten head-to-heads between these clubs have featured under 2.5 goals.
- Everton come into the derby off wins over Newcastle and Chelsea, while Liverpool have recently lost to PSG, Manchester City, and Brighton.
Prediction
On paper, there’s a clear favorite by reputation, but current form tells a more nuanced story. Everton are entering the derby more composed, more consistent, and with a healthier squad. At home, they’re notorious for making life difficult for Liverpool, dictating a scrappy, emotionally charged scenario. The visitors undoubtedly have the edge in individual talent, but this is a side that’s been prone to costly stumbles at the worst moments lately. With Liverpool still reeling from recent setbacks, it’ll be tough for them to seize and maintain control without mistakes. That’s why the most sensible bet here is a cautious one: back the hosts to avoid defeat.
