Everton vs Burnley: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 03 March 2026
One of the upcoming English Premier League fixtures will take place on Tuesday in Liverpool at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, where Everton hosts Burnley. The hosts just finished a goal-fest against Newcastle, while the visitors experienced the drama of the season in their clash with Brentford – now both teams approach this head-to-head with completely different emotions. I suggest a bet on the total goals in this encounter.
Match preview
David Moyes' side produced one of the most thrilling matches of the round, defeating Newcastle at St James' Park 3-2. The Toffees twice took the lead through Branthwaite and Beto, twice allowed their opponents to equalize, but a decisive late goal from Thierno Barry sealed the victory, and Jordan Pickford's spectacular save from Tonali's strike became a true symbol of triumph. This win ended a run of two defeats and kept the team in eighth place – right on the edge of the European qualification zone.
However, paradoxically, Everton have struggled to feel at home at their new stadium: seven games without a win, five losses, and two draws. Meanwhile, away from home, they've collected 14 out of a possible 18 points in recent fixtures – a stark contrast. Heading into the Burnley match, the squad situation is stable: Grealish (foot surgery) and Alcaraz are sidelined, while in attack Moyes faces the Beto-or-Barry dilemma from the opening whistle after both found the net at Newcastle.
Burnley, meanwhile, found themselves on the opposite end of footballing madness. Against Brentford, Scott Parker's team went through every stage of emotional turmoil: from 0-3 to 3-3, then 4-3, back to 4-4 – ultimately losing 3-4 after controversial offside and handball incidents. It was a match where character shone through, but it brought no points to the table.
The visitors' problems run deeper than a single result: Burnley remain 19th, conceding regularly – in six of their last seven matches in all competitions, they've allowed at least two goals. Away from home in the Premier League, the Clarets are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, though the goalless draw with this same Everton in December showed they can shut up shop. The question is whether they can maintain focus for the full 90 minutes against a team riding an emotional high.
Probable lineups
- Everton: Pickford, O'Brien, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko, Garner, Gueye, McNeil, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye, Barry.
- Burnley: Dubravka, Humphries, Worrall, Esteve, Pires, Ugochukwu, Ward-Prowse, Hannibal, Foster, Anthony, Flemming.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Everton have not won at their new stadium for seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
- Burnley have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home in the Premier League this season.
- The last meeting between these sides ended in a goalless draw in December, snapping Burnley's three-game losing streak against Everton.
Prediction
The emotional boost from beating Newcastle could provide Everton with the spark they need to break their home hoodoo. Burnley have shown they can fight – evidenced by their display against Brentford – but defensive instability on the road remains a chronic issue. If the hosts maintain their intensity and don't let the game descend into chaos, their attacking quality should make the difference.
