Everton — Chelsea Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 21 March 2026

Everton vs Chelsea prediction Photo: https://x.com/Everton/Author unknownn
Finished
3 : 0
England, Liverpool, Hill Dickinson Stadium
Beto
33' 62'
Iliman Ndiaye
76'

On March 21, 2026, in Matchday 31 of the English Premier League, Everton will host Chelsea. The match is set to kick off at 18:30 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Everton

Everton enter this match following a 0–2 away defeat to Arsenal, marking their third loss in the last five games. Despite this, Everton remain relatively well-placed in the Premier League standings, currently sitting 8th, just eight points behind the Champions League spots.

At home, however, Everton have been fairly inconsistent this season, recording 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses — only the 14th-best home record in the league. Their recent home form has also been poor, with just one win in their last eight matches across all competitions.

Everton’s games have generally been low-scoring. Three of their last four matches have finished under 2.5 goals, and only one of those games saw both teams score.

Looking at head-to-head home meetings against Chelsea, Everton hold a clear advantage, winning 5 of the last 7 encounters, with one draw and one loss. Notably, 6 of those 7 matches ended under 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in just one of them.

Chelsea

Chelsea enter this match in poor form, having lost three consecutive games. They suffered two defeats against PSG 2–5 away from home and 0–3 in the most recent match, which resulted in their elimination from the Champions League. They also lost 0–1 at home to Newcastle in the Premier League. In the league standings, Chelsea currently sit 6th with 48 points, holding a five-point advantage over Everton.

Away from home, however, Chelsea have been quite solid this season, recording 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses — the second-best away record in the league.

Looking at head-to-head meetings against Everton, Chelsea have had the upper hand recently, remaining unbeaten in the last four encounters with three wins and one draw.

At the same time, these matchups have generally been low-scoring. The last three meetings have finished under 2.5 goals, and in five recent encounters only one team managed to score.

Probable Lineups

  • Everton: Pickford, Mykolenko, Keane, O'Brien, Garner, Gueye, Iroegbunam, McNeil, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye, Beto
  • Chelsea: Sanchez, Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella, Fernandes, Caicedo, Garnacho, Palmer, Neto, Joao Pedro

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • 5 of Everton’s last 6 home matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
  • Chelsea have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
  • Chelsea are unbeaten in the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
  • 9 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings have seen under 2.5 goals.

Everton — Chelsea Prediction

We can expect a tight and competitive match between two teams who are close in the table and fighting for the European places in the Premier League. Everton have not been particularly convincing of late, losing three of their last five matches and only winning once in their last eight home games. Chelsea also come into this match in poor form, having lost three games in a row, including their recent exit from the Champions League, which now leaves them fully focused on their domestic competitions. Head-to-head meetings between these teams are usually tense and low-scoring. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last four meetings, while Everton are traditionally good at home in this fixture. Considering all these factors, the importance of points for both teams, and their desire to break negative streaks, this game is likely to be cautious and competitive, with a strong emphasis on defensive play and an expected low goal count. Recommended bet: Under 3 goals — 1.6

Prediction on game Total under 3
Odds: 1.6
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