Estonia are unbeaten in four straight matches: prediction for Estonia — Luxembourg
The UEFA Nations League third-round match between Estonia and Luxembourg will take place on October 3. Estonia have collected two points from two draws, while Luxembourg have three points after beating Bulgaria and losing to Iceland.
Estonia: four matches unbeaten and a solid defense
Jürgen Henn's side played out a 0-0 draw with Bulgaria in the previous round but created almost no dangerous chances — their only shot from inside the penalty area came in the second half. Problems in attack persist: Estonia have scored just three goals in their last five matches.
At the same time, their overall run looks respectable — the national team are unbeaten in four consecutive games and have kept three clean sheets during that stretch. Estonia have also kept clean sheets in their last two home matches.
Luxembourg: three straight away wins
After beating Bulgaria 2-1, Luxembourg suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat to Iceland. The result came as a surprise given their previous solid run, during which the team kept three clean sheets in five matches.
Their away record is far more convincing. Luxembourg have won their last three away games in a row, so even after the setback against Iceland, Jeff Strasser's side still have a good chance of picking up points.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Estonia are unbeaten in four straight matches.
- Luxembourg have won their last three away matches.
- Estonia have beaten Luxembourg in two of their previous three head-to-head meetings.
A strong defense could make this a low-scoring affair: prediction for Estonia — Luxembourg
Estonia have been playing with enough discipline in recent weeks but continue to struggle going forward. Luxembourg, meanwhile, have looked good away from home, although their heavy defeat to Iceland showed that the team's defense is far from flawless.
Given the hosts' cautious style and Luxembourg's strong away form, this match could well be a tightly contested affair. Neither team currently looks clearly superior enough to be confidently backed for all three points.