England vs Croatia preview: A repeat of history or a new chapter?

England vs Croatia prediction Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images
World Cup (Round 1) 17 june 2026, 16:00
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International, Arlington, Dallas Stadium

On June 17, Group L of the 2026 World Cup kicks off, and right from the first round we’re treated to one of the group’s biggest showdowns – England versus Croatia. On paper, this is arguably the main event of the group, as both teams are considered favorites to top the standings.

For England fans, the name “Croatia” still stirs up mixed emotions. Everyone remembers the 2018 World Cup semi-final, where Croatia knocked Gareth Southgate’s side out and crushed England’s dream of a first final in over half a century. Since then, the teams have crossed paths several times in official matches, but each new encounter still generates special intrigue.

England arrive at the World Cup as one of the tournament’s most expensive and talented squads. Jude Bellingham has firmly established himself as one of the world’s top midfielders, Phil Foden remains a creative linchpin, and Bukayo Saka has long since become the attacking leader. The squad now looks significantly more mature compared to previous major tournaments.

The main question surrounding England is whether they can finally shed the reputation of a team that dazzles up to the decisive matches, only to stumble at the most crucial moments. Many see the 2026 World Cup as one of this generation’s best opportunities to finally claim a major international trophy.

Croatia, as always, arrive at the tournament in the role of the underestimated underdog. And, as always, this could prove to be a major mistake. The 2018 World Cup finalists and 2022 bronze medalists have long shown they know how to get results, even when the bookmakers don’t favor them.

Of course, this Croatian side is already going through a generational transition. The squad is younger, but they’ve retained their defining trait – character. Croatia remain incredibly organized without the ball, patient, and ready to capitalize on almost any opponent’s mistake.
From a tournament perspective, this match carries huge weight. Ghana and Panama are also in the group, so the winner of this opening clash could immediately stake a strong claim for top spot. The loser, meanwhile, will be under added pressure heading into the second round.

Stylistically, we’re in for a fascinating tactical battle. England will likely dominate possession and attack down the flanks, exploiting Saka’s pace and Bellingham’s mobility between the lines. Croatia, on the other hand, will aim to slow the tempo, congest the midfield, and force England into nervy positional attacks.

On paper, England look stronger in almost every position. But World Cups have repeatedly shown that against Croatia, class alone isn’t enough. This is a team that can turn any match into a grueling chess game.

Key duel: Jude Bellingham versus Croatia’s central midfield. If the England midfielder finds space between the lines, the Balkan defense could be in serious trouble.

Prediction: England should take all three points, but don’t expect an easy ride. Croatia are simply too experienced and disciplined to collapse under the favorite’s pressure.

Verdict: Both teams to score.

Probable line-ups:

  • England: Pickford, James, Guéhi, Konsa, O'Reilly, Anderson, Rice, Saka, Bellingham, Gordon, Kane.
  • Croatia: Livaković, Vušković, Šutalo, Gvardiol, Perišić, Modrić, Kovačić, Stanišić, Baturina, Sučić, Musa.
Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 2.1
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England vs Croatia prediction World Cup Top teams clash: who is stronger? Prediction for the England vs Croatia match on June 17 England Odds: 2.05 Croatia Recommended Mostbet
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