Derby vs Burnley prediction, H2H and probable lineups - April 8, 2025
Leo Peterson
Dailysports's expert
Translated by the editors
On April 8, 2025, Pride Park Stadium in Derby will host the 41st round of the Championship match between Derby and Burnley. I propose a combined bet on this match with good chances of success.
Derby
Derby County has been teetering between the Championship and League One for several seasons. Last year, the team managed to reclaim its place in England's second-tier division, but this season has once again turned into a familiar fight for survival, which is far from over. With 41 points and currently in 21st place in the standings with 6 rounds to go, the club risks repeating last year's scenario and dropping back to the lower division.
In recent rounds, Derby showcased an impressive streak of four consecutive victories, which was only halted in the last round by a narrow 0-1 defeat in Wales against Swansea. However, successes in matches against Plymouth, Blackburn, Preston, and Coventry — with only Plymouth ranked below Derby in the standings — indicate that the team is capable of surprising even the league leader.
Burnley
Burnley still holds the leading positions in the league. The gap from second place and Sheffield United is just one point, and from third-place Leeds, two points. It looks like the battle for automatic promotion to the Premier League without additional nerves and playoff matches will unfold among this trio.
Scott Parker's team has rightfully earned a reputation as a model of pragmatic football. Burnley is not among the league's most prolific teams, yet their defense is having a truly outstanding season. Only 12 goals conceded in 40 rounds — a feat unprecedented in Championship history. If the "Clarets" maintain their current level of reliability in the remaining matches, they have every chance to set a record that will undoubtedly stand as a benchmark for division teams in the years to come.
In the modern era, the best defensive record in Championship history remains the 2015/16 season when under Aitor Karanka, Middlesbrough conceded only 31 goals throughout the championship.
Possible lineups
- Derby: Zetterstrom, Phillips, Clarke, Forsyth, Nyambe, Adams, Armstrong, Thompson, Elder, Harness, Yates
- Burnley: Trafford, Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Pires, Edwards, Cullen, Lorent, Anthony, Brownhill, Foster
Match facts and H2H
- Burnley approaches this match with a streak of three consecutive away victories, showcasing stability and confidence on foreign soil.
- Derby County has shown remarkable scoring ability in its last three home matches, netting two goals against each opponent.
- Burnley confidently holds the status of the best away team in the Championship. In 20 away matches, the club has accumulated 42 points, conceding only 7 goals.
- The first head-to-head meeting between these teams this season, held at Turf Moor, ended goalless — a 0-0 draw.
- Derby has lost four of its last five home matches against Burnley, highlighting the challenging nature of this opponent for the "Rams".
Prediction
Given the opponent's level and Burnley's defensive quality, the likelihood of an away defeat seems extremely low. Meanwhile, I believe the match is unlikely to be high-scoring. A combined outcome with odds of 1.76 is offered, which seems a very rational choice.
