Como vs Fiorentina: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 14 February 2026

Como vs Fiorentina prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 25) 14 feb 2026, 09:00
Finished
1 : 2
Italy, Como, Stadio G. Sinigaglia
Fabiano Parisi
77' (OG)
26'
Nicolo Fagioli
54' (P)
Moise Kean

One of the fixtures of Serie A's 25th round will unfold on Saturday at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como, where the local side Como hosts Fiorentina. Let’s break down the key talking points ahead of this clash, as the ambitious hosts from the European qualification zone face visitors desperate for points to salvage their season.

Match preview

Under Cesc Fàbregas, Como continue to write their own story—no longer with the caveat of being newcomers. This week, the "Lake Dwellers" knocked Napoli out of the Coppa Italia (1-1, won on penalties), and in the league they're holding onto a spot in the Europa Conference League zone, ahead of Atalanta and with a postponed match against Milan in hand. The team is firing on all cylinders, both mentally and tactically—their defense is nearly flawless: in the last five matches, opponents have failed to generate more than 1.0 xG per game.

Against Napoli, Fàbregas rotated his squad, leaving Douvikas, Da Cunha, and Kempf on the bench—it's expected all three will return to the starting XI. Goldaniga, Kavlina, and Diao remain unavailable, but Como’s squad depth allows them to maintain balance. Significantly, Fiorentina, in a recent cup clash (1-3), were the only side lately to consistently threaten Bute's goal.

Fiorentina are enduring a tough period, hovering near the relegation zone. Last time out, Paolo Vanoli’s men drew 2-2 with Torino, snapping a three-game losing skid, but a stoppage-time goal conceded left a sense of a missed victory. That’s now four games without a win—the pressure is mounting.

Another subplot is the condition of Albert Gudmundsson, who limped off against Torino with an ankle injury. There’s no serious damage, but his participation is in doubt, and without their top scorer Fiorentina’s attacking threat drops considerably. Meanwhile, after a 2-0 win over Como at the start of 2026, the "Viola" have lost each of the last three head-to-head encounters, including a 1-3 defeat in the Coppa.

Probable line-ups

  • Como: Bute, Kempf, Ramon, Valle, Smolcic, Da Cunha, Perrone, Baturina, Pas, Vojvoda, Douvikas
  • Fiorentina: De Gea, Dodo, Komuzzo, Pongracic, Gosens, Mandragora, Fagioli, Brescianini, Solomon, Parisi, Kean

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Como knocked Napoli out of the Coppa Italia (1-1, pens) and remain in the Conference League zone.
  • Fiorentina are winless in four straight league games, most recently drawing 2-2 with Torino.
  • Como have won each of the last three meetings with Fiorentina, including a 3-1 victory in the Coppa Italia.

Prediction

Como look the more structured and confident side, especially considering their defensive solidity and current form. Fiorentina are fighting for survival, but instability and personnel issues limit their options. The most likely scenario is a tight contest with a narrow edge for the hosts.

Prediction on game Win Como
Odds: 1.79
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