Como — Milan Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 15 January 2026

Como vs AC Milan prediction Photo: https://x.com/Como_1907/Author unknownn
Serie A Italy (Round 16) 15 jan 2026, 14:45
Finished
1 : 3
Italy, Como, Stadio G. Sinigaglia
Marc-Oliver Kempf
10'
45' + 1 (P)
Christopher Nkunku
55' 88'
Adrien Rabiot

On January 15, 2026, in Matchday 16 of the Italian Serie A, Como will host Milan. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Como

Como approach this match after a draw in their most recent Serie A fixture, played at home against Bologna. The team managed to rescue a point in the final minutes of the game, extending their unbeaten run to four consecutive matches. Prior to the 1–1 draw with Bologna, Como recorded three convincing victories: two emphatic 3–0 wins against Pisa and Lecce, and a narrow 1–0 success over Udinese. During that stretch, the team showcased an excellent defensive performance, conceding no goals.

Overall, Como’s form this season has been very impressive. The club currently sits sixth in the Serie A standings with 34 points, just five points behind the Champions League qualification places. Their defensive record stands out in particular, having conceded only 13 goals, which is the second-best defensive record in the league, behind Roma.

When it comes to home form, Como have been extremely solid. They rank fifth in Serie A based on home results, having collected 19 points at their own stadium. The team has conceded just four goals at home, and notably, remain unbeaten on their own ground this season across all competitions.

Como have also enjoyed a strong run in the Coppa Italia, reaching the Round of 16, where they are set to face Fiorentina.

However, their home record against AC Milan tells a different story. Como have lost their last two home matches against Milan.

Milan

AC Milan have been going through a difficult period in recent matches. For the second game in a row, the team was forced to rescue a draw in the closing minutes. Against Genoa, Milan equalised late to secure a 1–1 draw, and a similar scenario followed against Fiorentina, where they again fell behind in the second half before scoring a late equaliser.

Despite these issues, Milan are now unbeaten in four consecutive matches, recording two wins and two draws. Their most recent loss came in the Italian Super Cup against Napoli. In the title race, Milan remain firmly in contention. They trail Inter by only three points, while Napoli, Juventus and Roma are just one point behind.

Milan’s away form has been particularly strong. The Rossoneri are unbeaten on the road, with five wins and four draws from nine matches, conceding just six goals. Overall, they have allowed only 15 goals in 19 league games, matching Como’s impressive defensive record.

Milan have already been eliminated from the Coppa Italia, losing 0–1 to Lazio.

Historically, Milan have dominated in matches against Como. They have won all five previous meetings.

Probable Lineups

  • Como: Butez, Moreno, Kempf, Diego, Van Der Brempt, Da Cunha, Perrone, Jesus Rodriguez, Vojvoda, Paz, Douvikas
  • Milan: Maignan, De Winter, Tomori, Gabbia, Bartesaghi, Rabiot, Modric, Fofana, Saelemaekers, Pulisic, Fullkrug

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Como have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • 6 of Como’s last 7 home matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
  • Milan have won or drawn 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • 5 of Milan’s last 6 away matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
  • Milan have won the last 5 head-to-head meetings.

Como — Milan Prediction

Both teams come into this match in strong form. Como are unbeaten in their last four matches, recording three wins and one draw. The team has been extremely solid defensively, looks confident when playing at home, and currently boasts one of the best defensive records in Serie A this season. AC Milan have failed to win their last two matches, but overall remain very consistent. The Rossoneri have suffered just one league defeat all season and are still unbeaten away from home. In head-to-head meetings, Milan clearly dominate Como, having won every encounter between the two sides. Considering the current form of both teams, their defensive reliability, and the importance of preserving unbeaten runs, this match is likely to be cautious and tightly contested. Como will be eager to extend their strong home run and finally break their negative record against Milan, while Milan will aim to avoid defeat and prevent a short winless spell from turning into a negative trend. As a result, we expect a controlled, tactical game with limited chances and a low-scoring outcome. My bet for this match: Total Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.83
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