Prediction for the Cincinnati vs Inter Miami match. H2H and probable lineups — May 14, 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami CF prediction Andy Lyons/Getty Images
MLS USA (Round 13) 13 may 2026, 19:30
Finished
3 : 5
USA, Cincinnati, Ohio, TQL Stadium
Inter Miami CF Inter Miami CF
Kevin Denkey
41' (P)
Pavel Bucha
49'
Evander Ferreira
64'
24' 55'
Lionel Messi
79'
Mateo Silvetti
84'
German Berterame
89' (OG)
Roman Celentano

On Thursday, May 14, at TQL Stadium in Ohio, Cincinnati will host Inter Miami. For the home side, this is a chance to redeem themselves after last November’s crushing 0-4 playoff defeat, while Miami aims to cement their lead atop the Eastern Conference.

Match preview

Cincinnati, managed by Pat Noonan, are in a rough patch: sitting 6th in the table and leading the league in red cards (5 dismissals in 12 rounds). The team has scored in nine straight matches, but their defense remains suspect — 27 goals conceded tell the story. In their last outing against Charlotte (2-2), the attack was spearheaded by Evander and Kevin Denkey, both of whom remain the main threat to Miami’s goal.

Inter Miami in 2026 look like a points machine. Lionel Messi recently celebrated his 100th appearance for the club, simultaneously becoming the fastest player in MLS history to reach 100 goal contributions (goals + assists) — needing just 64 regular-season games. In the most recent match against Toronto (4-2), Messi once again left the pitch with a goal and two assists. The team leads the league in both possession and goals scored, remaining unbeaten in their last seven away fixtures.

Tactically, this promises to be an open contest, as Cincinnati always play aggressive, front-foot football at home, while Miami under Ojose are masters at exploiting space on the counter. Given the hosts’ issues at the heart of defense and the visitors’ in-form attacking trio, we’re almost guaranteed goal-scoring action at both ends.

Cincinnati are consistent scorers at home, while Miami’s defense (21 conceded) still allows opponents plenty of chances. However, the attacking firepower of the visitors currently eclipses any defensive line in the league. Considering Cincinnati's discipline problems and defensive gaps, Miami look like the favorites.

Probable lineups

Cincinnati: Celentano – Smith, Miazga, Robinson – Bucha, Valenzuela, Evander, Nwobodo, Ramirez – Dem, Denkey
Inter: St. Clair – Mura, Falcon, Lujan, Reguilon – De Paul, Ruiz, Segovia – Messi, Suarez, Silvetti

Match facts and head-to-head

  • In their last five meetings, both teams have claimed two wins each, with one draw
  • Cincinnati are unbeaten in six matches: four draws and two wins, but have conceded in five of those games
  • Inter have conceded in eight of their last ten games, winning only four and losing once

Prediction

Given the head-to-head history and the current defensive struggles on both sides, I expect a high-scoring affair. My prediction: total over (3) at 1.85

Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.85
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