Raphael Durand
Dailysports's expert
One of the fixtures of the 15th round of the Chinese Super League will take place on Wednesday in Chengdu, where the local side Chengdu will host Shenzhen Xinpengcheng. Here’s a betting tip on the outcome of this clash with a promising odds value.
- See also: Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns prediction, H2H and probable lineups - June 25, 2025
Match preview
Chengdu right now is a prime example of how a medal-contending team should play in the Chinese Super League. They showcase a rare blend for Chinese football: a rock-solid defense paired with a productive attack, averaging nearly two goals per game while rarely allowing opponents to celebrate. At home, Chengdu not only dominates the stadium but also their rivals—having lost just once in seven matches.
Consistency is the key to their success: just two defeats in 14 rounds speak volumes about their focus and the coaching staff’s sharp work. On the flip side, the club is winless in its last two league games, drawing with Qingdao and losing to Henan Songshan. The upcoming match is a great chance to get back to winning ways.
Shenzhen, on the other hand, is the antithesis of Chengdu—a textbook case of how not to play in the top flight. Their defense is leaking from all sides: 28 goals conceded in 14 rounds is a miserable stat, even by Super League standards. Up front, Shenzhen often lacks creativity, and their forwards tend to get lost under pressure rather than creating danger in the opposition box.
Away matches are especially tough—far from their home fans, Shenzhen looks toothless and disorganized. They’ve lost five out of seven on the road, claiming just one win. Unless a miracle happens, they risk leaving Chengdu’s stadium with a heavy load of goals conceded once again. In the last round, they lost 1-2 at home to Wuhan Three Towns.
Probable lineups
- Chengdu Rongcheng: Liu Dianzuo, Yuan Mincheng, Han Pengfei, Li Yuanfeng, Gurfinkel Y., Yang Mingyang, Romulo, Gan Chao, Chou T., Felipe Silva, Shihao W.
- Shenzhen: Ji Ze, Zhang Yujie, Yang Yiming, Dugalic R. (C), Wang Qiao, Li Zhi, Zhang Wei, Zhang Xiaobin, Zhang Yudong, Garcia E., Thiago Leonco
Match facts and head-to-head
- Shenzhen Peng City concedes an average of two goals per match and has lost more than half of their games.
- Chengdu has beaten their opponent in three of the last five meetings, losing only once.
- The "Both teams to score" bet has landed in 4 of the last 5 matches.
Prediction
Chengdu Rongcheng look like the clear favorites in this matchup and should have little trouble asserting their status at home. Shenzhen’s defensive woes and squad absences are simply too much to withstand the organized onslaught of the hosts. Our tip here is "Chengdu to win with a -1.5 handicap" at odds of 1.66.
