Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 30, 2025
One of the marquee clashes of Premier League Matchday 13 will take place this Sunday at Stamford Bridge in London, where Chelsea face off in a derby against the main title contenders — Arsenal. Here’s our prediction for this derby, which promises a high-scoring affair.
Match preview
Enzo Maresca’s side has confidently clawed its way back into contention for the top spots, despite a shaky start to the season. After some early-season wobbles, the Blues have shifted into high gear — nine wins in their last eleven matches across all competitions, including three consecutive clean-sheet victories in the Premier League. Their emphatic triumph over Barcelona in the Champions League (3-0) was a statement win, boosting both confidence and team spirit.
However, Chelsea haven’t always looked solid at Stamford Bridge — less than 44% of their Premier League points have come at home. They’re yet to win back-to-back home league games this season, and previous slip-ups against Brighton, Crystal Palace and Sunderland serve as a warning ahead of facing a team of Arsenal’s calibre.
Arsenal arrive for the derby as league leaders and boast a flawless Champions League record — five wins from five. Victories over Tottenham (4-1) in the North London derby and Bayern Munich (3-1) in Europe have underlined the strength and maturity of Mikel Arteta’s squad. Even with some key absentees, the Gunners continue to attack with ruthless efficiency and control matches with composure.
The stats also favour the visitors: Arsenal have gone over seven years without losing to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League and are unbeaten in their last seven head-to-head meetings. Wins in these fixtures are further declarations of title intent, and this trip is a chance to tighten their grip on top spot and reinforce their psychological edge over their rivals.
Probable lineups
- Chelsea: Sanchez, James, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, Cucurella, Caicedo, Fernandez, Estevan, Pedro, Neto, Delap
- Arsenal: Raya, Timber, Saliba, Hincapié, Calafiori, Eze, Zubimendi, Rice, Saka, Merino, Martinelli
Match facts and head-to-head
- Arsenal haven’t lost to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League since 2016.
- Chelsea have failed to win any of their last seven meetings with Arsenal.
- Both clubs claimed impressive Champions League wins this week, scoring three goals apiece.
Prediction
Despite Chelsea’s growing confidence and the return of several key players, Arsenal look the more cohesive and balanced side. The visitors are clinical in attack and consistently handle tough opposition. Expect goals in this one, and our pick is both teams to score at odds of 1.73.
