Chelsea — Arsenal Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 30 November 2025
On November 30, 2025, in Matchday 13 of the English Premier League, Chelsea will host Arsenal. The match is set to kick off at 17:30 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Chelsea
Chelsea approach this important London derby in excellent form. The team have found their rhythm and are now unbeaten in 6 matches in a row. In their most recent game, they confidently defeated Barcelona in the Champions League with a 3–0 scoreline. Their last two Premier League matches were also won to nil — first 3–0 against Wolverhampton, then 2–0 against Burnley. Overall, Chelsea have conceded in only one of their last 5 matches.
In the Champions League, after their recent victory, Chelsea climbed to 7th place in the standings with 10 points and still have a good chance of reaching the play-off round. In the Premier League, the team currently sit 2nd, trailing Arsenal by 6 points, which makes this derby even more significant.
At home, Chelsea look entirely stable: in their last 6 matches at Stamford Bridge, they have recorded 5 wins and only 1 defeat.
When it comes to head-to-head meetings with Arsenal, Chelsea have had some difficulties. They have not beaten Arsenal at Stamford Bridge in 6 consecutive matches — 3 losses and 3 draws.
Arsenal
Arsenal, in turn, are also in very solid form. Mikel Arteta’s team are performing confidently across all competitions. In their most recent match, they handed Bayern Munich their first defeat of the season, ending the German side’s unbeaten run.
Arsenal are currently on a sixteen-match unbeaten streak in all competitions. Their last defeat came back in late August against Liverpool.
After their 3–1 victory over Bayern, Arsenal moved to first place in their Champions League group. They now have 15 points from five matches, with 14 goals scored and only 1 conceded — the best defensive record in the competition.
In the Premier League, the team also look extremely strong. After 12 games, they have 29 points and sit in first place, with 24 goals scored and 6 conceded — the best attack and the best defence in the league.
Arsenal have also been impressive in away matches: in their last seven away games, they have recorded six wins and one draw.
As for their head-to-head record against Chelsea, Arsenal have dominated in recent years. They are unbeaten in eight consecutive matches against the Blues, with six wins and two draws.
Probable Lineups
- Chelsea: Sanchez, James, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella, Gusto, Caicedo, Estevao, Fernandez, Garnacho, Joao Pedro
- Arsenal: Raya, Timber, Saliba, Hincapie, Calafiori, Zubimendi, Rice, Eze, Saka, Madueke, Merino
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Chelsea have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Chelsea have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.
- 8 of Chelsea’s last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Arsenal have won 12 of their last 13 matches.
- Arsenal have won 6 of their last 7 away matches.
- Arsenal’s last 4 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- In 3 of Arsenal’s last 4 matches, both teams scored.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 8 head-to-head matches against Chelsea.
Chelsea — Arsenal Prediction
Both teams approach this London derby in strong form. Arsenal have not lost for two months and currently hold leading positions in all competitions they are involved in. As for Chelsea, the team also looks confident, especially at home. However, in recent head-to-head meetings Chelsea have struggled — Arsenal are unbeaten in their last eight matches against the Blues. Both sides demonstrate solid defensive performance. Arsenal have conceded only six goals in the Premier League and just one in the Champions League, showing the best defensive record in the competition. Chelsea are also disciplined at the back, keeping clean sheets in four of their last five matches.
All of this suggests that we should expect a careful and balanced match between two principled rivals who cannot afford to drop points. Arsenal will aim to avoid letting Chelsea get closer in the table, while Chelsea will try not to lose so that Arsenal don’t pull even further ahead. Therefore, we expect a tight, cautious game with a limited number of goals. My bet for this match: Total Under 3 goals at odds of 1.46.
