Champions against the league’s worst defense: Inter vs Fiorentina prediction

Inter vs Fiorentina prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 8) 25 oct 2026, 07:30
- : -
Italy, Milano, Giuseppe Meazza

The eighth-round Serie A clash between Inter and Fiorentina will take place on October 25, 2026, at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. The hosts remain unbeaten in the league and are level with Lazio at the top of the table, while Fiorentina have suffered five defeats in seven rounds and have once again found themselves near the bottom. Given their current form and head-to-head record, the advantage clearly lies with the Milan side.

Inter: an almost perfect domestic campaign

Christian Chivu’s side have dropped just two points in seven Serie A matches and remain in the title race. In the previous round, Inter defeated Bologna 3-1, marking the fourth time this season they have come from behind to win. During the week, the Nerazzurri also finally picked up their first Champions League points, edging Shakhtar 1-0 despite Alessandro Bastoni’s red card.

The main concern ahead of the match is the absence of Lautaro Martinez, who will be out until the international break. Luis Enrique, John Stones, Benjamin Pavard and Curtis Jones are also unavailable. Nevertheless, Inter have enough depth in the squad: Marcus Thuram and Pio Esposito could lead the attack, while Hakan Calhanoglu is particularly dangerous against Fiorentina — he has scored seven Serie A goals against them.

Fiorentina: the crisis drags on

Paolo Vanoli’s side have lost five of their seven league matches and have yet to find any consistency. In the last round, Fiorentina fell 1-3 to Como after previously losing 1-2 to Genoa. Even the change in coach has failed to produce the desired effect so far, and the team remains one of the biggest disappointments of the opening weeks of the season.

The defense is especially alarming: Fiorentina have conceded more goals than any other team in Serie A. That is an extremely poor backdrop before facing the league’s most prolific attack. Their problems are compounded by several absences — Fabiano Parisi has been sidelined for some time, while Arthur Atta and Luca Ranieri are also unlikely to play.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Inter have dropped just two points in their opening seven Serie A matches.
  • Fiorentina have lost five of their seven league matches.
  • Inter have lost to Fiorentina just twice in their last 18 Serie A meetings.

The hosts’ class should prevail: Inter vs Fiorentina prediction

Fiorentina can cause problems in isolated spells, especially if Inter fail to start at full intensity after their Champions League campaign. However, even in difficult situations, the Milan side regularly find a way to turn matches around and have already collected ten points after falling behind.

With the visitors’ defensive weaknesses and the hosts’ attacking firepower, another Inter victory looks like the most logical outcome. Fiorentina may find the net, but containing the champions for the full 90 minutes will be extremely difficult.

Prediction on game Inter Win & Total under 4.5
Odds: 1.88
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4.95
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