One of the preliminary qualifiers for the Africa Cup of Nations will take place on Friday, as Chad goes head-to-head with Burundi. My pick here is to back the visitors, as despite their own issues, they appear to have a slightly stronger foundational game.
Match preview
Chad comes into this clash with little reason for optimism, though there have been glimpses of hope in recent cycles. In the last World Cup qualifiers, they managed just one draw in ten matches – a result against Ghana that was more of a flash of character than a sign of systematic progress. Overall, Chad remains a team that too often plays in survival mode and rarely manages to control games.
The balance between attack and defense is particularly worrying. On average, Chad scores just 0.8 goals per game while conceding 2.1, which clearly explains why any promising spells are quickly undone. It's true that Chad have managed a few draws in friendlies, but over a longer stretch of official matches, it's obvious their margin for error is minimal.
Against this backdrop, Burundi look the more organized and composed side, even if they have their own share of problems. In World Cup qualification, Burundi fought for fourth place, picked up three wins, and finished with ten points – already a sign of higher competitiveness. Even their losing streak in the autumn of 2025 doesn't change the fact that Burundi know how to compete against teams of their own level and rarely fall apart in such encounters.
The main question for the visitors concerns their attack, which has seemingly stalled of late. Burundi have lost four matches in a row and haven't scored in five consecutive games – a run that inevitably hits confidence. However, facing Chad could be just the type of match to reboot their campaign: the opponent allows more than most recent rivals, and Burundi's edge in overall organization is still visible.
Probable line-ups
- Chad: Mbainaïssem, Osee, Tchuplau, Nubara, Allarabaïe, Tiam, Kaiba, Tchauna, Kuma, Ekua, Muandilmadji.
- Burundi: Nahimana, Weymans, Nduwarugira, Muderi, Moussa, Girumgisha, Msanga, Nshimirimana, Liongola, Mabanza, Bigirimana.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Chad have lost four of their last five matches.
- Burundi are on a four-game losing streak and have failed to score in five straight matches.
- This will be the first-ever meeting between Chad and Burundi at senior level.
Prediction
This isn't likely to be a match filled with open, attacking football from the opening whistle. Both sides come in with clear offensive struggles, but Burundi look a bit more disciplined and better suited to a pragmatic contest. The best bet here seems to be backing the visitors with a draw-no-bet option.